#1
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100PL - What the hell is going on!?
Hand converter isn't working, but here's how it went: I have about $150 and cover Villain at $120.
I am dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] UTG, raise it up to $3, folded to the blinds who both call. So, pot is $9. Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Check check to me, I bet $6. SB folds, Villain calls. Turn: T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (Pot is $21) Check to me, I bet $15. Villain snap calls. (Villain is only playing one table so this fact might be irrelevant.) River: 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (Pot is $51) Villain bets $50. Hero..........? I have the Villain at 41/0.15/0.29... so what do you think is going on here? What hand do you put Villain on? AKxx seems a little bit unlikely since I have a blocker, but I suppose AKT9 is within a probable range. If he had a lower set, I figured he'd have fired earlier. Checking back my PT stats, I have this guy at 4.18 River Agg. Factor, so it's possible the guy just check/calls to the river with the nuts and waits to fire for sure. I didn't know that at the time, however. Can I call? I really can't put this guy on a hand here, and I think it's entirely possible that he thinks I'm just continuing to fire with AAxx and he thinks his QJxx is good. During the hand, though, I had basically no clue what this guy was doing. Why wouldn't he wait to let me c/r? Would the offsuit 3 somehow slow my action? Any ideas? I can't see how I'm not going to see a straight here enough to make a call +EV. Thoughts? |
#2
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Re: 100PL - What the hell is going on!?
depending on opponent, I am honestly very tempted to raise here for value if you have reasons to believe he put you on AA.
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#3
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Re: 100PL - What the hell is going on!?
I have been raising a lot this session PF (I was at 52/35 after 60 hands :P), so there isn't a great reason to think that he thinks AAxx is the only hand in my range. However, what that also means is that he could think I have complete air since I'm raising so much preflop.
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#4
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Re: 100PL - What the hell is going on!?
The heart scared him and he was afraid of being freerolled. There are several players I play with that play every hand this way.
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#5
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Re: 100PL - What the hell is going on!?
If you got a wide range preflop, this smells like the nuts beging for a call from k9 or some garbage.
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