Very awkward live $50NL hand

[Ace0fSpades]

Villain is a generally conservative TAG player that is definately capable of making an occational play or making a tough call. We have a long, almost two year history together, during which we both tended to avoid eachother a little bit and grind out with fish. This is one of the most awkward spots I've been put in in a while because my gut feeling was that I was ahead and villain was acting a bit weak, though hand ranges made this call nearly impossible. Comments, please:

Hero holds Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Preflop:

Villain (UTG) raises to $1.50, 2 folds, BTN calls, SB folds, Hero calls.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Hero checks, Villain bets $3, BTN folds, Hero raises to $9, Villain calls.

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Hero bets $13, Villain goes all-in for $43.25, Hero?

[carnivalhobo]

this is an easy call unless he is really a huge nit and even then i expect him to show up with AA/KK/AQ enough to make it good. you have outs against the nuts, and there are tons of draws.

[rakes.a.beach]

instacall. This is live?

I'd generally lead flop

[mynameisjoe]

Not live, call.

[Ace0fSpades]

Yes, this hand is live. I don't understand how no one is even considering that villain has a set here, his range definately does not include AQ, KQ, or QJ. I'm curious what you can possibly be putting him on here to justifiy a call?

[rakes.a.beach]

[ QUOTE ]
Yes, this hand is live. I don't understand how no one is even considering that villain has a set here.

[/ QUOTE ]

There are eight combos villian can have a set. Hmm AQ/AK/AA/KK have a lot more combos. And the board is drawy, so you're ahead of his range.

[payday]

I guess with your history with him it may be a tougher call, if in your time together he has never pushed one pair then you can lay it down..

It is certainly possible he has a set (77?). What is his utg opening range?

[Ace0fSpades]

Villain's UTG opening range is something like any two broadways, any PP from UTG. He has never pushed a draw into me and has never pushed a TPTK type hand into me. Also, he generally plays his draws passively.

[kitchma]

go with your read, but why do you say that AQ is not in his range? Are you saying that he would only push with 8,9 or a set? Are you sure he wouuldn't play KK or AA this way?

[Isura]

Snap call.