100nl | AKs - Shall I go for turn c/r here?

[Ratamahatta]

Villains stats are something like 35/25/1.5 but he have been playing very tight. I stole his blinds very often and he didn't play back at me.

I wanted to crai on the flop but he checked behind. Can I crai turn now? I think turn bet will look like a bluff after flop check and crai looks much stronger.

Party Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$0.50/$1 Blinds
6 Players
LegoPoker HH Converter

SB: $129
BB: $119.05
UTG: $81.70
<font color="black">Hero (MP): $101.50</font>
<font color="black">CO: $209.25</font>
BTN: $48

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG calls $1, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $15</font>, 4 folds, Hero calls $10

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($32.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO checks

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($32.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero ???

[phantom_lord]

I think bet out 25.

[CazicT]

what could he have?

Preflop I was thinking AA-QQ, maybe JJ, possibly AK. He reraised and he had been playing tight right?

Not sure why he would check behind on the flop though, seems like he might be sandbagging. I can't imagine not at least taking a stab even if he missed the flop, but maybe he didn't feel like bluffing with AK.

I don't think you have enough money behind to make him fold with a crai if he has anything other than AK. I can't see check raising because it doesn't seem likely enough that he both has a weak hand and he would bluff with it if checked to.

I think i'd play conservatively and check/call, but I do tend to play weak tight.

[pavey21]

I lead out 20-25 here and it doesnt necessarily look like a bluff because you could have been looking to CR a set or something on the flop. Also, you probably have him beat with AK high.

[DefiNe]

check/call can be good here, getting a cheap showdown oop vs QQ/AK/AQ and a chance to draw out

[Ratamahatta]

[ QUOTE ]
I lead out 20-25 here and it doesnt necessarily look like a bluff because you could have been looking to CR a set or something on the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yea, that ia a good point.

[Fat Nicky]

i would 4-bet pre-flop most of the time, considering how aggressive he is. more importanly, just calling just forces us to playy oop.