POG Anniversary Game Thread

[POG Auctioneer]

[ QUOTE ]
ok, so sasami wasn't vr...vr is still alive and blocking pog auctioneer's peeks while they seer hunt

[/ QUOTE ]

I did get blocked, but this post is just off

[POG Auctioneer]

[ QUOTE ]
k. we have like 5 seers, right?

omgwtf11

[/ QUOTE ]

this post also struck me wrong

[BBV4POG]

****dead****
gg all
thanks durr
suck me wolves
****dead****

[George_Vancouver]

ugh

mets/km are lovers and die together, so wolves get 2 night kills when they kill one of them...

[George_Vancouver]

15v3 today
11v3 tomorrow if wrong on both shootings (they eat seer)
9v3 next day (they hit other seer)
6v3 (they hit km/mets)
4v3


so we can only make SIX mistakes if luckay gets luckay to hit 2 targets


if no bullets left, then

15v3 today
13v3
11v3
8v3 (hit km/mets)
6v3
4v3

still make 5 mistakes


if luckay only hits one:

15v3
12v3
10v3
7v3
5v3

only make 5 mistakes

so luckay hitting one doesn't help us anymore than hitting none...but hitting 2 helps us out a lot

[George_Vancouver]

if can make 6 mistakes, we need 9 unknowns to auto-wrap it up, as 6+3 wolves = 9

if we can make only 5, then we need 8 unknowns to auto-wrap it up, as 5+3 wolves = 8

[Ill Subliminal]

We have 4 confirmeds plus Yoko can confrim KM if needed.
We have a seer who has had 6 peek opportunities.
There are 3 wolves left.
18 players total left.

Is this all correct?

[Ill Subliminal]

And soah is still alive too I think.

[Grindhouse]

stuntman jack won't be around today and probably won't be able to post until tomorrow night, unless he finds internet access on location.

take tom & jerry for a ride

[George_Vancouver]

***IMPORTANT***

I think this game is basically LOCKED UP!


chocolate rabbit - pogger
confucius - pogger
freetokyo - ?
george - pogger
grindhouse - pogger
ill sub - ?
im in ur forum - ?
jigsaw - dmk
jim bob - pogger
john von - pogger
marie - ?
omgwtf - ?
pog auctioneer - pogger
t bradshaw - ?
the seer - ?
freshprince - ?
tom & jerry - ?
yoko - mets

18 left
matrix/xorbie/durron dead
1 of jared/voracious/madtown/mat dead (sasami)

so 3 wolves left

so it's 15v3 right now

we can mess up 5-6 times (depending on luckay having bullets and being lucky 2/3 times)

only 9 unknowns right now

but scott can claim and prove it when one account dies

also, lastchance can claim if still alive

8 unknowns locks it, since 5 mistakes + 3 wolves

so unless somehow scott and lc BOTH can't claim, we have this game won...and that also takes luckay missing on all bullets


15v3 today
13v3 tomorrow, pog gone
11v3 next day, i'm gone
8v3 next day, confucius/yoko gone
6v3 next day, jigsaw gone
4v3 next day, jim bob gone

john von/chocolate/grindhouse alive for must lynch...so 3 wolves in 4 unknowns (3 in 3 if lc or sh can be confirmed)

3v2 next day, john von gone
2v1 next day, chocolate gone

so grindhouse alive in must lynch IN WORST POSSIBLE SCENARIO

if luckay can shoot and kill 2 unknowns OR sh can confirm himself OR LC can claim, we win


ALSO, scott HAS to be able to confirm himself as they can only eat confirmeds at night...so whenever he is lynched/shot, the other role can then claim and self-confirm the next night...unless we lynch one scott howard today and luckay shoots the other tonite...

so ONLY case that we have to have a confirmed decide in final round is if

a) we don't lynch vr today (if we do, we get another peek!)
b) we lynch sh role
c) luckay then shoots other sh role
d) luckay's other bullets miss so he gets 1, not 2 players
e) lc is already dead so can't claim



so this is pretty much LOCKED DOWN!