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  #21  
Old 04-16-2007, 05:30 PM
Karmic Karmic is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

Not trying to hijack but I've noticed that not only can I normally not get the line you post but lines seem to move dramatically afterwards. For example right now Bal/Tam is at 9 1/2 O +110 U -130. Why the dramatic moves and is there a scalping opportunity here? (I did get -10 1/2 last night)
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  #22  
Old 04-16-2007, 06:08 PM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

well, i'm glad i slept through that one. first inning and ninth inning both would have caused some tilt.

4/17 totals: (6-2-3, +5.00 pending three games today)

Bos/Tor over 9 +105 (1)
LAD/Ari over 9 -110 (1)
Cle/NYY under 10.5 -120 (1)
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  #23  
Old 04-16-2007, 06:11 PM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
Not trying to hijack but I've noticed that not only can I normally not get the line you post but lines seem to move dramatically afterwards. For example right now Bal/Tam is at 9 1/2 O +110 U -130. Why the dramatic moves and is there a scalping opportunity here? (I did get -10 1/2 last night)

[/ QUOTE ]

i'm not certain on this, but it seems like the books react more swiftly to move the line in response to bets on totals than bets on moneylines. in 'the smart money,' michael konik said that sportsbooks have much lower limits on totals than sides, probably for the same reason.

as for the overnight line movement, i guess i'm just so good that all the sharps are on the same side as me. (seriously though, i don't really know, i started betting totals less than a week ago. i'm learning as i go.)
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  #24  
Old 04-16-2007, 06:14 PM
TheRover TheRover is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
as for the overnight line movement, i guess i'm just so good that all the sharps are on the same side as me.

[/ QUOTE ]

pretty much.
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  #25  
Old 04-16-2007, 06:56 PM
Kevroc Kevroc is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

I know this post is "no content" but, I loved that book crock.
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  #26  
Old 04-16-2007, 07:30 PM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

added for tonight:

LAD/Ari (monday) over 9 +111 (1)
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  #27  
Old 04-16-2007, 07:33 PM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
I know this post is "no content" but, I loved that book crock.

[/ QUOTE ]

i feel i can hijack my own thread. i thought the book was okay. it did a good job presenting the atmosphere and the ups and downs of sports betting, and konik is a good writer telling a fairly interesting story. i was disappointed that the book really didn't delve into any of the winning methods the syndicate used, since it was subtitled "how the world's best sports bettors beat the bookies". even though this information would likely have been of zero betting value to me, it would have added to the story.
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  #28  
Old 04-16-2007, 09:22 PM
Your Mom Your Mom is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I know this post is "no content" but, I loved that book crock.

[/ QUOTE ]

i feel i can hijack my own thread. i thought the book was okay. it did a good job presenting the atmosphere and the ups and downs of sports betting, and konik is a good writer telling a fairly interesting story. i was disappointed that the book really didn't delve into any of the winning methods the syndicate used, since it was subtitled "how the world's best sports bettors beat the bookies". even though this information would likely have been of zero betting value to me, it would have added to the story.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed, but it seemed like Konik wasn't really allowed access to that info.
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  #29  
Old 04-16-2007, 09:35 PM
whipsaw whipsaw is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

Seriously wtf TB can't hold a 6-0 or 7-1 lead
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  #30  
Old 04-16-2007, 10:10 PM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: crockpot\'s mlb picks 4/16-4/22 (YTD 30-29, +38.12)

[ QUOTE ]
Seriously wtf TB can't hold a 6-0 or 7-1 lead

[/ QUOTE ]

It took a three-error play for them to score their first run, this is one of the worst (or best if you like excitement at any cost) games I've ever seen.
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