April MLB

[dmoney416]

YTD: 6-2, +4.55u
Yesterday: 1-0, +0.515u

White Sox hit yesterday thanks largely in part to Roberto Hernandez.

Today:

Baltimore (Loewen) +204 (0.5u to win 1.02): Loewen beat the Yanks twice last season, and Baltimore actually has had success against Mussina. Roberts (16-32, .500), Millar (16-35, .457), Tejada (18-43, .419, 4 HRs), Gibbons (14-38, .368), and Mora (11-34, .324) all of had great success against him. The Yankees have limited experience vs. Loewen, but none of them have had great success against him thus far. In Loewen's career against the Yanks, he has 24 innings pitched, is 2-1, and has a 2.63 ERA. This line is way too inflated.

St. Louis (Wainwright) -110 (1.1u to win 1): Here we have two struggling offenses, but St. Louis can get off the hook today with the help of Wandy Rodriguez. Rodriguez has had a 5+ ERA in each of his two seasons, and last year he gave up a a walk about once for every two innings pitched. He walked 9 batters in 2 games late in spring training before finally walking none in six innings in his last spring training start against KC (though he gave up 10 hits in 6 innings). I like Wainwright and expect him to be an effective starter for this team. Cards should get their first win today.

Detroit (Verlander) -160 (1.6u to win 1): Juice is a little high, but it is worth it here. KC is improving, but De La Rosa is a trainwreck waiting to happen. Verlander has also has dominated the Royals in the past, going 21 innings while posting a 3-0 record and a 0.86 ERA. De La Rosa went 5-6 last year with a 6.49 ERA in 28 appearances (13 starts). He also walked an astounding 54 batters in 79 innings. In his last spring training start, he allowed 6 runs, 5 hits, and 3 walks in just 1 and 2/3 innings.


That should be all for today. Gl to all today.