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  #11  
Old 03-30-2007, 12:42 AM
disjunction disjunction is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

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technically i don't think EV matters if you have 1 shot...
not quite as gruesome as the Russian roulette idea but w/e

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MAYBE NOT FOR 20 MILLION VERSUS 15 MILLION, BUT EV MATTERS FOR 150K VERSUS 200K BECAUSE THE PERSON WILL GO THROUGH THAT MONEY NO MATTER WHAT. ALSO THERE IS BANK INTEREST SO THE EV DIFFERENCE IS MUCH MUCH MORE.
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  #12  
Old 03-30-2007, 12:42 AM
grando grando is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

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technically no deal is always +ev...

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In theory this is the case, but the show does occasionally offer +EV deals, espeically towards the end.

...and this of course discounts utility theory

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TEH +EV DEALS ARE USUALLY 2K OR 5 BUCKS AND THEY OFFER 1100 BUT THE PERSON TURNS IT DOWN BECAUSE THEY ARE PISSED AND SAD.

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GAMBOOOOOOOOL
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  #13  
Old 03-30-2007, 12:42 AM
Dan87 Dan87 is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

who cares about EV when its life changing money, you guys say +EV but in a situation like that I wouldnt care if I gave up EV to win a guaranteed 200k. I could probably take that 200k and play within a bankroll and make countless +EV decisions to get it to a million
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  #14  
Old 03-30-2007, 12:43 AM
brazilio brazilio is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

200K W/INTEREST AND SO IS 150K FOR THAT MATTER IS ENOUGH TO LIVE ON FOR A LOT OF PEOPLE OUTSIDE OF IDIOT LEFTWING PINKO STATES LIKE FUCKIFORNIA AND GUIDO TOWNS
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  #15  
Old 03-30-2007, 12:44 AM
disjunction disjunction is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

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who cares about EV when its life changing money, you guys say +EV but in a situation like that I wouldnt care if I gave up EV to win a guaranteed 200k. I could probably take that 200k and play within a bankroll and make countless +EV decisions to get it to a million

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200K IS NOT LIFE CHANGING. I HAVE 100K AND I DON'T FEEL A THING.
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  #16  
Old 03-30-2007, 12:47 AM
disjunction disjunction is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

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200K W/INTEREST AND SO IS 150K FOR THAT MATTER IS ENOUGH TO LIVE ON FOR A LOT OF PEOPLE OUTSIDE OF IDIOT LEFTWING PINKO STATES LIKE FUCKIFORNIA AND GUIDO TOWNS

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no because you will waste more it's just human nature. you will buy new car instead of used. you will buy bigger house. you will eat out. you will pay the hospital bill instead of declaring teh bankruptsy. if you are homeless it is lifechanging if you earn 40K it is not. 150k earns you 7.5k in interest a year, that's all it does for you. it's nice but not lifechanging.
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  #17  
Old 03-30-2007, 12:53 AM
brazilio brazilio is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

saying people will go through that money isn't correct either, if they were managing before they'll be able to manage now. Whether they choose to do so or not doesn't matter but you're gaying up my thread stop it
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  #18  
Old 03-30-2007, 12:59 AM
doubLe a tom doubLe a tom is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

I think towards the end the deals can be +EV depending on the person playing and their financial situation. The deals are -EV in real dollar expectation but that doesnt necessarilly mean that its -EV to take the cash.

If the person is middle class or lower, the amounts of money at the beginning are gonna be decent, but not life changing and its obvious they should keep playing.

As the amounts go up, the value of an individual dollar goes down as far as the player is concerned. For example, If you have 500k, and get even a 60/40 chance to double to a million, 95% of people will keep the 500k, cause the 500k from 0, holds a lot more value than the extra 500k to the million, making a lot of the deals offered with few cases easily +EV.
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  #19  
Old 03-30-2007, 01:53 AM
Sporky Sporky is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

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troglodyte

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  #20  
Old 03-30-2007, 01:59 AM
TyFuji TyFuji is offline
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Default Re: Anybody else watch deal or no deal just to see their losing faces

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[ QUOTE ]
who cares about EV when its life changing money, you guys say +EV but in a situation like that I wouldnt care if I gave up EV to win a guaranteed 200k. I could probably take that 200k and play within a bankroll and make countless +EV decisions to get it to a million

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200K IS NOT LIFE CHANGING. I HAVE 100K AND I DON'T FEEL A THING.

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You'd feel it if you lost it
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