NL 100 - Nut full house, but villain goes berserk in the river.

[YKMM]

Villain is 42/20/2.5 in large sample, fairly laggy. I have no reads of how he handles the river, but it looks like he is over-extending with non-quads hand. Standard?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($22.85)
MP ($98.50)
Hero ($117.70)
Button ($20.20)
SB ($88.65)
BB ($37.10)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $3</font>, Hero calls $3, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls $2.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($10) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $6</font>, MP folds, Hero calls $6.

Turn: ($22) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>, SB calls $15.

River: ($52) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $64.65 (All-In)</font>, Hero calls $64.65.

Final Pot: $181.30

[ez game]

Definately standard. Looks like he has 10's-A's and almost every single time you are going to rake this pot.

[Fonkey123]

[ QUOTE ]
Definately standard. Looks like he has 10's-A's and almost every single time you are going to rake this pot. [/quote

He wasn't the preflop raiser, and I presume a 40/20 will repop with premiums.

[wallenborn]

He'd have to be very optimistic to move in with a PP smaller than nines after Hero's turn bet.

But what kind of X2 could he have? Overcall with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] would mean he'd have to play a raised 3way pot oop with a drawing hand. Has he done something like that before?

[Jurrr]

He could have A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] here of course, but that is one hand. The hand as played is totally standard here I think and I expect to see any pair or even air from such a villain.

[ QUOTE ]
He'd have to be very optimistic to move in with a PP smaller than nines after Hero's turn bet.

[/ QUOTE ]That, or he'd have to be a total moron with stats like 42/20/2.5 or smth... oh wait...

[wallenborn]

[ QUOTE ]
That, or he'd have to be a total moron with stats like 42/20/2.5 or smth... oh wait...

[/ QUOTE ]

I snicker and rest my case. Plus, his shove is only a little more than a pot size, anyway. Call.

[effang]

well, obviously you hated to call. but he's probably good here right? he knows you have 222 99 or better, and he isn't afraid. PFR 20 means he probably is repopping this PF with JJ+...so...that sucks. a2 for the win?

[bottomset]

[ QUOTE ]
well, obviously you hated to call. but he's probably good here right?

[/ QUOTE ]

wtf no

its a very easy very quick call, you lose maybe 10-15% of the time

[CalledDownLight]

umm...isnt this like very basic zeebo theorem? He could have any pair here.

[betgo]

Call the river. If he called a raise with one deuce, pay off quads.