Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Tournament Poker > MTT Strategy
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-27-2007, 11:30 PM
LCposter LCposter is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: fighting to keep a 2-digit ROI
Posts: 184
Default $3+R, big draw facing massive all-in overbet - call or fold?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t800 (9 handed) internettexasholdem.com

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

MP2 (t42579)
MP3 (t21605)
CO (t7780)
<font color="#C00000">Hero (t38780)</font>
SB (t22562)
<font color="#C00000">BB (t78405)</font>
UTG (t19000)
UTG+1 (t16825)
MP1 (t26384)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls t800, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls t800, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t3200) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets t800</font>, Hero calls t800, SB calls t800, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to t77555</font>, MP2 folds, Hero calls t37130 (All-In), SB folds.

Turn: (t120285) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

River: (t120285) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: t120285

PS $3 rebuy, close to 3 hours in. About 2600 entrants, down to 700 before hand is dealt. Top 504 paid, but typical top heavy structure (1st is $5000+, 504th is $22), so gunning for final table.

Average stack around 23k, Tournament chip leader just over 100k. Villian is table leader, and has bullied a little bit, but no huge overbet like this before. After the push, I'm a little worried about villian having the 7-high straight, but I don't think he'd push the nuts this hard.

With a nut flush draw, inside straight draw, and maybe outs with the A, I have to call, right? Or does anyone fold and keep an above-average stack to fight another day?

Comments on all streets appreciated.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-28-2007, 12:01 AM
Sherman Sherman is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Ph. D. School
Posts: 3,999
Default Re: $3+R, big draw facing massive all-in overbet - call or fold?

So it cost ~37K to win ~42-43K right?

You have 8 flush outs and 4 straight outs plus the ace is probably good for 3 outs. 15 outs. Somewhat less than 60% to make your draw.

It looks like it is pretty close given that if villain has a pair or a set he has re-draws. If he has the straight, you only have 9 outs.

I don't know I'd probably fold here because this is real close IMO and you don't have much of your stack invested here.

BTW - Don't post the rest of the hand. It biasis results.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-28-2007, 07:38 AM
Foucault Foucault is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: WSOP \'07 TR on web (see profile)
Posts: 3,661
Default Re: $3+R, big draw facing massive all-in overbet - call or fold?

I definitely call. No one has mentioned the possibility of Villain holding a worse flush draw, which even if infrequent, is HUGE for your equity.

BTW, I also like your first call. I would generally advocate playing faster with a big draw, but since it's a multiway pot, keeping others in to pad your odds and maybe even draw to dirty outs is nice.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:58 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.