Backdoor nut flush

[Jay Riall]

***** Hand History for Game 5810790973 *****
$ 200 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Monday, March 26, 20:53:39 ET 2007
Table Jackpot #1306723 (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 2: don_perignon ( $ 289.80 USD )
Seat 4: NINOS1966 ( $ 161.55 USD )
Seat 5: Winnum1 ( $ 63.20 USD )
Seat 3: SSNL_balla ( $ 198 USD )
SSNL_balla posts small blind [$ 1 USD].
NINOS1966 posts big blind [$ 2 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to SSNL_balla [ Jc Ac ]
Winnum1 folds.
don_perignon folds.
SSNL_balla raises [$ 7 USD]
NINOS1966 calls [$ 6 USD]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 8d, 7c, Ah ]
SSNL_balla bets [$ 11 USD]
NINOS1966 calls [$ 11 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 6c ]
SSNL_balla bets [$ 27 USD]
NINOS1966 calls [$ 27 USD]
** Dealing River ** [ 5c ]
SSNL_balla????

Pot is $92 on the river and we have about $115 behind.

[Xanta]

Gotta bet here I think.

Unless villain can be counted on to bluff scary rivers at a high frequency, his calling range for a small bet ($45?) is >>> than his betting range when checked to. Also, most everything that bets the river (9x, flushes) is going to push if you bet, excepts bluffs and maybe 4x.

[MasterLJ]

Push.

[Jay Riall]

Yup obviously bet. But how much and why? How about a shove?

[kolotoure]

Value shove son

[JDLade]

no push, thats too obvious, you'll only get a call from the straight+
I'd target a hand like AQ or A7, lead out for 72
[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

[Jay Riall]

[ QUOTE ]
no push, thats too obvious, you'll only get a call from the straight+
I'd target a hand like AQ or A7, lead out for 72
[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I think this is better than shoving. If the board wasn't 4-straight I shove this every day of the week.

[MasterLJ]

[ QUOTE ]
no push, thats too obvious, you'll only get a call from the straight+
I'd target a hand like AQ or A7, lead out for 72
[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

There's no way someone with 2 pair, TPTK or even a set is calling $72, but would fold to $115.

Shoving helps to foster a FOS image, which is always profitable.

[illuminati]

I like ~50-60 from a psychological standpoint and to give him a fair price on the call - I think he can get away from other stuff if you push. Def an interesting spot. I think he calls a slightly smaller bet more often than he does a value shove.

Although he could easily the straight which talk themselve into calling a poosh.

[Jay Riall]

[ QUOTE ]
There's no way someone with 2 pair, TPTK or even a set is calling $72, but would fold to $115.


[/ QUOTE ]

I think they very well might.