200NL River Bluff-Raise

futuredoc85 · #1 03-26-2007, 03:21 AM

Villain is baaard on stars, 21/14.5/5 over 500 hands. He was short b/c of the hand before.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP1 ($246.10)
Hero ($251.85)
CO ($63.55)
Button ($218.80)
SB ($87.15)
BB ($149.45)
UTG ($69.30)
UTG+1 ($115.35)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
3 folds, Hero raises to $8, 3 folds, BB calls $6.

Flop: ($17) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $13, BB calls $13.

Turn: ($43) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($43) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets $28, Hero raises to $230.85

arsenal905 · #2 03-26-2007, 03:26 AM

Nah, just fold. This seems like a weak time to pull off a bluff.

homeboy604 · #3 03-26-2007, 03:28 AM

this is so bad.

futuredoc85 · #4 03-26-2007, 03:30 AM

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this is so bad.

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care to elaborate? idk if you're feeling generous you could start with what streets you dont like and why and maybe throw in a range or two for villain that plays this way and can call this river.

futuredoc85 · #5 03-26-2007, 03:32 AM

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Nah, just fold. This seems like a weak time to pull off a bluff.

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what about this board is bad for bluffing? Do you think he has a T here most of the time or that he wont fold enough hands that are ahead of me to make it +EV? gimme something please.

arsenal905 · #6 03-26-2007, 03:35 AM

Id say he has a ten here more often than not. Why put so many chips in at a spot like this? This is a Matusow type hand. Yeah, sometimes itll work, but eventually boom, you're felted.

curtains · #7 03-26-2007, 03:37 AM

looks OK. Ten is much more logical holding for you than it is for them. Could probably consider raising to like 100, might have same effect. Also you could just fold [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

futuredoc85 · #8 03-26-2007, 03:39 AM

he doesnt have me covered so im not really risking that $230 and i honestly think KT is the only hand he can have here b/c hes almost always betting this turn w/ AT if not raising the flop. I dont really think most people float OOP w/ any hand that has a T here and then decide to check the turn do they?

curtains · #9 03-26-2007, 03:41 AM

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he doesnt have me covered so im not really risking that $230 and i honestly think KT is the only hand he can have here b/c hes almost always betting this turn w/ AT if not raising the flop. I dont really think most people float OOP w/ any hand that has a T here and then decide to check the turn do they?

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I think AT is definitely possible, probably moreso than KT.

Fonkey123 · #10 03-26-2007, 10:52 AM

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he doesnt have me covered so im not really risking that $230 and i honestly think KT is the only hand he can have here b/c hes almost always betting this turn w/ AT if not raising the flop. I dont really think most people float OOP w/ any hand that has a T here and then decide to check the turn do they?

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I think AT is definitely possible, probably moreso than KT.

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IMO this hand is a vacuum is a little spewy. The fact he's leading into this board tells me he likes his hand; however, if he's a regular it's not all that bad for shania. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] I think AT is his most common hand hear. I don't think many regs check/call 2nd pair [censored] kicker OOP.