AA vs whatever PF theory question

llleisure · #1 03-25-2007, 11:50 AM

This has actually come up several times for me - I think the right answer is always "yes" but I'm curious.

Approximate situation: I'm in late position and have AA. $10 raise from UTG and 2 callers before me - $33 in pot ($10+$10+$10+blinds.) I make it $60 to try and narrow the field and it gets folded back around to last guy still in hand and he asks:

"If I call, will you check it down?"

At the time this is asked there is $93 in the pot and opponent looking at having to call another $50 but I know I'm at worst tied and most likely I'm ~80% to win here.

If I answer "no" he may or may not fold - estimate 80% chance of opponent folding on "no" and 20% of him calling knowing I don't want to check to the river.

Goofy question? Other thoughts? Is the best answer always "yes" given the pot size/bet sizes?

I know a smaller raise by me can throw things out of whack here - but then I probably shouldn't have done that right? Larger raise by me also shifts things more towards just having it folded back around to me.

sixhigh · #2 03-25-2007, 12:46 PM

This is kind of joke, right?
Say 'yes' and push flop.

Djeorge · #3 03-25-2007, 01:10 PM

[ QUOTE ]
This is kind of joke, right?
Say 'yes' and push flop.

[/ QUOTE ]
QFT

carnivalhobo · #4 03-25-2007, 01:40 PM

dont say anything if you dont know exactly what to say.

Zagga · #5 03-25-2007, 01:47 PM

[ QUOTE ]
This is kind of joke, right?
Say 'yes' and push flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT! You play poker! Not monopoly

AggJedi · #6 03-25-2007, 02:50 PM

Say yes and he'll think you're weak, then he'll push and you can laugh at him.

Some9 · #7 03-25-2007, 02:58 PM

I think hes serious, maybe its live?

according to the 80-20 estimate what he will do if you say no, you should say yes. Easy math really.

Av9114 · #8 03-25-2007, 04:10 PM

Most important question, how big are the stacks? But what application does this have to any real situation?

mikechops · #9 03-25-2007, 06:36 PM

It's pretty hard to think of a hand that (1) doesn't reraise after 2 limpers and (2) is going to pay a great deal after the flop if he doesn't improve to beat you. OTOH pocket pairs could easily stack you. I think he is getting by far the worst of the deal.