NL25 - AK faces pressure on a great flop

DannyOcean_ · #1 03-23-2007, 05:14 PM

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO ($39.75)
Button ($25.50)
SB ($29.25)
BB ($14.55)
UTG ($9.55)
Hero ($24.75)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.25, 2 folds, SB calls $1.15, BB calls $1, UTG calls $1.

Flop: ($5) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $4, SB raises to $11, BB raises to $13.3, UTG folds, Hero raises to $23.5, SB calls $12.50.

Turn: ($65.30) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)

River: ($65.30) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)

Final Pot: $65.30

Well, this is about as good a flop as an AK can hit. There is a ton of action, but the board is at least drawy meaning one player could be on a draw. I'm getting pretty great odds to go, Is getting it in here +EV, given that draws or lesser aces could be found, or are we up against a set so much that it's bad to call here?

RadiKs · #2 03-23-2007, 05:20 PM

i have a lot of trouble getting away from this Danny. Its so common to see AQ AJ, spades, or even a straight draw if someones calling pf with suited connectors. I would put it in. I would run your opponents possible ranges through Stove and see what your equity is when put through a formula but I get it in here. I think if anything BB might have a set, and you are still gunna take down the side pot against a smaller A that SB might have.

Regardless, I usually get it in here. However, if SB is really nitty (im talking sub 10% vpip) i might actually drop this hand after your 4$ is rr twice as a limp pf could be their 44 or 66.

Good luck, curious to see results after posts.

ssdex · #3 03-23-2007, 05:24 PM

stats on the players would help........ do you know anything about them?........ i am much more likely to get it in here versus a player who is loose or one that is aggressive post flop then I am against a rock........ its really -EV against someone who is like 14/8 persay

DannyOcean_ · #4 03-23-2007, 05:24 PM

I'll post results only after the hand gets some more responses, if anyone is interested. My odds to play here are rediculously good, which is why I called ultimately. If I'm winning only 33% of the time the push is still +EV, assuming SB always calls (if my math is right).

So yeah, do I have enough equity here to call?

no stats on villians early hand [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

catfish_01 · #5 03-23-2007, 05:29 PM

Seems like the push is good; I would say it's better than a call.

RadiKs · #6 03-23-2007, 05:33 PM

I think you have equity to call here. I think at least 1 out of three times you are pulling down this hand against lesser As or draws. Put it in. If you lost it this time I think i wouldnt shy away from it in the future.

HotdogPoker · #7 03-23-2007, 05:39 PM

I don't know if I'd call after BB gets it in. You got check raised not by one but by two players which basically says to me that one pair is no good. You don't have any draws. BB looks like he has a set.

ABCofPKR · #8 03-23-2007, 06:11 PM

I'm loosing that kind of hand lot of time... one of them cold have AQ,AJ,AT and the other a flush draw or a set.... i donk know, one of them is short stack but the other is full stack, against a short stack I calling every time but in this situation I think a lot and ..... hummmm dont know! its pretty hard to know, need reador stats!

[]'s ABC

Mal_Pais · #9 03-23-2007, 06:14 PM

Danny, the checkraise by Villian on the flop makes me drop this one.