AQs in a RR pot flops a draw..[200NL]

[BombayBadboy]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

BB ($516.90)
UTG ($224.25)
Hero ($363.85)
CO ($331.82)
Button ($54.34)
SB ($199.55)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $8</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB (poster) raises to $23</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls $16.

Flop: ($50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $30</font>, Hero..?

I got no clue. Me and villain have some history. He has repopped me twice, I repopped him once pf. This one is 2-3 hands after the hand I repopped him. Still fold pf?

Whats my plan for the flop?

If you raise, how much and how do you act on a blank turn?

[Imrahil]

I think I'd fold PF.

[BombayBadboy]

[ QUOTE ]
I think I'd fold PF.

[/ QUOTE ]

Fair enough.

Given that you didn't, how would you play the flop?

[Imrahil]

I think the best play is to raise to $100 and call a push. You'll get AK to fold and probably TT. I'm not sure if QQ will fold in this spot though.

[Up-grey-de]

whats your stats? if he thinks that you raise alot preflop with a big range, he´ll easier repopp you, and then I think that as played a big raise would be a good idea, and call a push.
One problem is that i think hes holding at least QQ here. Can you get him to fold an overpair with your image you think?

[DonKaleone]

I'm agreeing with Imrahil here, I'd prefer a preflop fold but as played, I think raising and calling a push is the best play.

[disciple]

Why not just push if you are goign to call push anyways?

[AbreuTime]

Depending on what level he thinks on, a push could be better. However, most level 1 players wouldn't push sets, so this villain may view a normal raise as stronger than a push (thus more fold equity).

Edit: If villain and OP had been 3betting each other regularly (an indication of a stronger, aggressive player), he realizes that OP is probably capable of pushing a strong draw.

[rapidacid]

Well, you're ahead of zip here ... I call PF with position ... I also probably call flop and give up on turn if nothing of mine hits and villain fires something substantial again ... I don't know that this is my advice tho

Board: 9c Jc 4h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.337% 42.82% 00.52% 11445 139.00 { AcQc }
Hand 1: 56.663% 56.14% 00.52% 15007 139.00 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }

[CobraGoat]

raise call a push because this line looks stronger than shoving so deep.