nl10 AA IP, monochrome flop, size bet/fold

gedanken · #1 03-20-2007, 02:39 AM

Villian is 44/25/3 over 17 hands, seems pretty aggressive
I've been 22/17/inf in same hands

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed)

saw flop

BB ($5.75)
UTG ($11.70)
UTG+1 ($3.85)
Hero ($10.65)
MP2 ($11.25)
MP3 ($16.60)
CO ($14.30)
Button ($1.15)
SB ($5.40)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG raises to $0.3, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.2, 6 folds, UTG calls $0.90.

Flop: ($2.55) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero ??? 

I'm thinking I'm betting and folding to a raise, but how do I size a bet I plan to abandon? It has to be the same 3/4 psb I'd make with a good hand, yes? I picked $2, and I'm folding to ANY checkraise, right?

Or is it simpler to check behind and pray this aggressive opp doesn't bet the turn, with me wondering if it's a failed c/r or an induced bluff?

the machine · #2 03-20-2007, 02:42 AM

bet and i probably call a shove from this villain. his range is wide and he could easily shove a draw as well as TP as well as a worse overpair.

CanYouCallThis · #3 03-20-2007, 02:43 AM

Bet $2. Call a raise. Come on, a flushboard comes up and you give it up? Noway you are gonna fold!

Only plausible hands are AQs and AKs and possibly he's hit his set. But thats a big minority of the range he has preflop!

Just call a C/R and reevaluate the turn. Check if checked to, if betted to it depends on the amount.

theflyingcow · #4 03-20-2007, 02:43 AM

whoa whoa whoa, at this limit I would almost never fold to a shove. I've seen people push all-in with flush draws so often that it almost makes me want to instacall. If you bet around $2 and he does something suspicious like raise to $6, then he's probably enticing a call with a made hand. Honestly, I think other overpairs 99-KK potentially shove here too, making it a profitable call.

gedanken · #5 03-20-2007, 02:51 AM

maybe I'm dumb, but I've lost a ton of money at this level calling raises with top pair or an overpair.

And if there's two checkraises in a session, it's a surprise. This guy isn't so aggro that I think he checkraises with less than a set. But then again, it nags me that everybody slowplays hands like that (ie, chck/call flop, c/r turn or river instead).

Am I just a predictable fit/fold type that's easy to exploit?

he minraised back...

theflyingcow · #6 03-20-2007, 02:53 AM

[ QUOTE ]
he minraised back...

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd shove but that's just me.

T-Bone98 · #7 03-20-2007, 02:54 AM

Bet 3/4 to potsize and call a shove. Villains range is soooooo wide.