nl400, toptwo, turn decision

reptile · #1 03-18-2007, 03:52 PM

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($396)
BB ($281.40)
UTG ($206.05)
MP ($81.18)
CO ($533.95)
Hero ($456.90)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2.
3 folds, Hero raises to $14, 1 fold, BB calls $10.

Flop: ($30) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $23, BB calls $23.

Turn: ($76) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $55, BB calls $277.40 (All-In), Hero ?

31/16/3.5/16
140 hands

recallme · #2 03-18-2007, 03:56 PM

This is a tricky spot, i fear set 6`s and KJ here. But i don`t see KJ pushing here. AT and A6 will play like the same way as he wouldplay the former 2.
Call and hit your A on the river.

Praetor · #3 03-18-2007, 03:57 PM

really easy call

ski · #4 03-18-2007, 03:59 PM

I'd say you're good like 70% here.

reptile · #5 03-18-2007, 04:04 PM

hm
i foldet it
i stoved a bit after, i get 1:2.7 thats 63:37
when i stove and give him some different reasonal ranges, the best result is 60:40 and the worst is like 73:27
i think the fold is ok here..

Praetor · #6 03-18-2007, 04:09 PM

no its not

DCal Zone · #7 03-18-2007, 05:32 PM

For less than a stack I would never fold here even to the tightest opponents. He could have any lower 2pair, any Ace, even something dumb like KQ or JT. There's also a million diamond draws he could have. Ax of diamonds is a huge part of his range. You're winning way more often than you are losing here.

Colms · #8 03-18-2007, 05:45 PM

With him having less than 50BB I'm calling here every time. I think he pushes here with KJ less than 30% of the time. A6, AT, or Axd making a move. I call in this spot every time.

Whisper · #9 03-18-2007, 06:04 PM

arrrrr inn!!