16$ Stars AK on the bubble

[Kurtiii]

can´t find the HH so i am doing the stacksizes of my head.

Hero : ~2.6k
Villian : ~5.5k
SB : ~3k
BB : 1.5k

Villian is very LAG and came OTT or called raises in position alot. BB is a total rock, not even a pushbot. He´s the type that will fold down to his last 120 chips just to get ITM.
With that in mind, do i gamble with Villian for 1st, or fold it and hope to get another hand before BB gets Aces ?

Blinds 75/150

I open UTG for 450 and and villian pushes after 10 secs of thought. I´m pretty sure he knows that i can´t call anything but QQ+, maybe AK sometimes and will push a wide range here.

At the time i thought it was a super easy fold ... after i lost the "fold for 3rd war" against BB i 2nd guessed [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

[dipstikdave]

in game against a lag i'd probly call, even tho' i think folding this is probly better(note my lack of discipline). with your read on bb i think folding is the right play.

[Jshuttlesworth]

just push PF... as played call..

[Dr_Wonderful]

I push preflop, a bit of an overbet but makes things nice and easy. I would probably call this reraise.

[doubLe a tom]

Yea a push is probably best. Atleast you wont have to make tough decisions like this one.

[dipstikdave]

if op's read on bb is correct, then getting it all in here has to be wrong.

[Kurtiii]

[ QUOTE ]
if op's read on bb is correct, then getting it all in here has to be wrong.

[/ QUOTE ]

I thought the opposit is true. If i fold here i have to play the bubble with a call-happy bigstack to my left and a shortstack who will fold his way ITM. So i basicaly have to settle for 3rd if i fold this right ?

in hindsight shoving is probably the best play. Just felt so stupid with those stacksizes.

[Mike MacIntosh]

ICM

Fold = 22%
Call/Win = 35%

You need 62% equity to break even on on a call. With your read this becomes a call for me.