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  #1  
Old 03-14-2007, 05:26 PM
Van Strummer Van Strummer is offline
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Default 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

What do I do here? There is no small blind and according to SNGwiz a push is pretty bad (between -1.5% and -2.5%).
The other small stack is fairly good so I don't think he will donk out.

Is this a situation I should totally ignore SNGwiz and just do what feels right as playing A5 here probably is better than being forced in with a random hand next hand.

PartyPoker $55 Speed Tournament, Big Blind is t600 (4 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

There is no Small Blind in this hand as the Big Blind of the previous hand left the table.

Hero (t1860)
CO (t2240)
Button (t12680)
BB (t3220)

BB posts blind: 600
Preflop: Hero is in UTG with 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
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  #2  
Old 03-14-2007, 05:31 PM
ibakepie ibakepie is offline
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Default Re: 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

push
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  #3  
Old 03-14-2007, 05:57 PM
aghasax aghasax is offline
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Default Re: 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

Sngwiz says what it says according to the ranges you plug in. I don't se how realistic ranges makes this a -EV push. Button and BB will call tight.
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  #4  
Old 03-14-2007, 06:10 PM
weknowhowtolive weknowhowtolive is offline
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Default Re: 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

Ahhh...this is where ICMs start to get flakey. This is read dependent. Id push.
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  #5  
Old 03-14-2007, 06:26 PM
fluorescenthippo fluorescenthippo is offline
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Default Re: 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

easy push. ICM isnt perfect. you lose FE and most of your stack next hand which ICm doesnt realize.
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  #6  
Old 03-15-2007, 09:13 AM
Dirk72 Dirk72 is offline
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Default Re: 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

If the big stack (suppose other two will prob fold) would know your cards, he can call you profitable with 15% hands and even then you have a change of 34% to win. So you have a fold equity of 16.12% and a push equity of 18.07%, this is an edge of almost 2%. So I am sure you have to review your calling ranges in SNGwiz.
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  #7  
Old 03-15-2007, 09:16 AM
Luisgallo Luisgallo is offline
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Default Re: 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

I doubt you will have a better hand in the next 2 then you are almost gone.
Push.
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  #8  
Old 03-15-2007, 09:58 AM
AMT AMT is offline
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Default Re: 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

all in
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  #9  
Old 03-15-2007, 10:06 AM
Mike MacIntosh Mike MacIntosh is offline
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Default Re: 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

Push, CO and BB should call you tight, and Button is being squeezed in between the two. Looks like a perfect push with a wide range to me.
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