Is this profitable in the long run?

[dirtylobster]

No reads on villain.

Full Tilt Poker
$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
5 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
BTN: $20.40
SB: $9.2
Hero (BB): $24.75
UTG: $10.80
MP: $40.30

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($0.35, 5 players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $0.85</font>, BTN calls $0.85, SB calls $0.75, Hero calls $0.60

<font color="black">Flop:</font> K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($3.4, 4 players)
<font color="red">SB bets $1.75</font>, Hero calls $1.75, MP folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $10.40</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero raises all in to $24.15</font>, BTN calls all in for $9.15
Uncalled bet of $4.60 returned to Hero

<font color="black">Turn:</font> K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] [5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] ($44.25, 2 players)
No action

<font color="black">River:</font> K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] [J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] ($44.25, 2 players)
No action

<font color="black">Results:</font>
BTN had A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (two pair, Aces and Fives) and won $42.05
Hero had A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (two pair, Fives and Twos)
Final Pot: $42.05 ($2.20 rake)

Board: Kd 2h 5d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.414% 55.96% 00.45% 554 4.50 { AcAs }
Hand 1: 43.586% 43.13% 00.45% 427 4.50 { Ad2d }

Villain will rarely fold here but... enough to make the shove EV+?

[dirtylobster]

Maybe I should think in terms of villains range?

[God Complex]

[ QUOTE ]
Maybe I should think in terms of villains range?

[/ QUOTE ]

Your ace is often good here.

[Xanta]

1) Don't show results, it makes us just as results oriented as you.
2)We shove combo draws as a rule because of fold equity, that's where our profit really comes from. Once villain makes such an enormous raise, he's not folding to a push, so I would let it go. Unless he's doing it with &lt;KQ, we're behind every one of his holdings and he's not folding.

Good idea getting your equity versus villains cards, but it's our equity versus villain's range that we want. Try using pokerstove to figure that out.

Remember that combo draws are about fold equity, and in this spot we have none.