Good time to bluff river? Or spewage?

[loveinvain]

Sorry if this output isn't the cleanest, converter sucks.

Villain is about 32/18/2 over 45 hands or so. I probably seemed nitty (as usual).

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG ($131.10)
Hero ($102.65)
Button ($85.20)
SB ($120.72)
BB ($115)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 5c 5h.

I open for 4 from CO, SB calls.

Flop: ($31.50) 2, Q, J [color=#0000FF](2 players)</font>

He checks, I check.

Turn: ($31.50) 6 [color=#0000FF](2 players)</font>

He bets 5, I raise to 15, he calls.



River: ($31.50) 9 [color=#0000FF](2 players)</font>


He bets 15, I push.

His smallish turn raise smelled fishy, as did his smallish river bet so I felt like this might be a good time to bluff.

[killphilNI]

I think the flop is a better time to bluff (cheaper too)

As played, looks like a spew. I think he will call far too often, plus the 9h fills lots of his possible draws.

[DrRock]

What did you put him on? From your raise on the turn you cans ee he has something he likes and the river card hits a lot of draws. I would raise more on your turn bluff. Why arent you cbetting this flop?

[loveinvain]

I didn't put him on anything specific, I just sensed weakness in his bet sizing, figured he could have just about anything but he didn't seem too proud of it whatever it was.

I cbet here maybe 85% of the time, this just happened to be one of those times where I didn't.

[ValarMorghulis]

"I just sensed weakness in his bet sizing"

I sense donkiness in his bet sizing. I generally don't try to bluff donks. You took your stab on the turn, he called and bet river. He has something. Fold river.

[OGS20]

Personally, I don't like the river play purely because (as already mentioned) that 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] could have gave him a big hand. Although if you had a feel for how he was playing and how he'd bet in that situation then you did the right thing in going with your gut.

[DrRock]

[ QUOTE ]
I didn't put him on anything specific, I just sensed weakness in his bet sizing,

[/ QUOTE ]

Nothing specific, but dont you try to put him on draw, weak pair, monster, etc.? If this is how he plays top pair is he a player capable of folding it? Does he block bet draws? Why dont you think he is feigning weakness? Without more information I dont see the logic in bluffing here.

[loveinvain]

Yeah I see what u mean, he actually folded so I patted myself on the back, said waytobe bluffing the river for a change and it worked!

Now ... I can see that maybe this wasn't the best spot. I mean, my gut told me to bluff and I was right but I suppose his line could have meant hearts so it was far from an ideal spot to try a bluff.

Thanks for the replies all.

[shpanko]

I don't like it. He bet/calls turn meaning he has a decent hand or a draw. When he bets the river again I fear his draw got there or he atleast improved to two pair or something. I don't like the bluff