#1
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lay down this set??
I didn't have any reads on this guy. I thought this decision was pretty close, but most would probably think otherwise.
Full Tilt Poker No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 6 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $18.90 UTG+1: $12.90 Hero: $56.05 Button: $25 SB: $37.90 BB: $24 Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $0.5</font>, Hero calls, Button folds, SB calls, BB calls. Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($2, 4 players) SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">BB bets $1</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $4</font>, SB calls, BB calls, UTG+1 calls. Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($18, 4 players) <font color="#cc0000">SB bets $13.75</font>, 2 folds, Hero.. |
#2
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Re: lay down this set??
I kept typing call and some reasoning for it and realized I dont have any amazing reasoning for it. So...I guess without good enough reasoning I cant say "Call...because I feel like it."
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#3
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Re: lay down this set??
meh ... I think you have to fold
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#4
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Re: lay down this set??
if I call, what's my plan for the river? call down? what range do you put him on?
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#5
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Re: lay down this set??
[ QUOTE ]
if I call, what's my plan for the river? call down? what range do you put him on? [/ QUOTE ]Exactly! Haha. A fold doesnt seem right be cause I dont think you're up against a flush here from a UTG minraise enough. My very first thought on his hand was AA because so many idiots play AA from UTG with a minraise. But thats enough to call off 14 bucks and (given no heart comes on the river) a push. |
#6
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Re: lay down this set??
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
6s 6c 10 22.73 34 77.27 0 0.00 0.227 Ah 2h 34 77.27 10 22.73 0 0.00 0.773 Your a 3.4:1 dog assuming he has a flush and the pot is laying you 2.3:1. Assuming the board pairs and you stack him every time, you're getting like 3.7:1 on the call if you factor in the implied odds. If hes not semideep you gotta fold but singce he started the hand with like 150bb its close. In game id probably fold but after looking at the math, you should call but its not a huge mistake not to. |
#7
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Re: lay down this set??
I def call mostly due to the % chance your good and he checks river, and the times you fill up, I think its +EV. If you weren't this deep I'd probably consider folding.
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