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  #11  
Old 02-21-2007, 08:24 PM
JMa JMa is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

so youre not out of your $200k downswing yet?
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  #12  
Old 02-21-2007, 08:32 PM
KRANTZ KRANTZ is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

put him on 6s
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  #13  
Old 02-21-2007, 08:42 PM
PartyGirlUK PartyGirlUK is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

Empire I dont know why you make dumb posts like this.
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  #14  
Old 02-21-2007, 08:44 PM
Noose Noose is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

You're on crack.
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  #15  
Old 02-21-2007, 08:48 PM
rotanimod rotanimod is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

posthand-EV of Fold = 12498 - 700 - 950 = 10848


posthand-EV of Call = ...

80% of time (AA vs KQ):
EV of AA on Ac Js Tc = 0.349
EV of KQ on Ac Js Tc = 0.651

20% of time (AA vs hand with ~16% equity):
EV of AA on Ac Js Tc = 0.840
EV of xx on Ac Js Tc = 0.160

.80 * 0.349 + .20 * 0.840 = 0.2792 + 0.168 = 0.4472 EV in the pot

final pot after call = 15363

0.4472 EV in the pot of 15363 = 0.4472 * 15363 = 6870.3336 EV in the pot

stack size after call = 4829

EV in the pot + stack size = EV after hand

6870.3336 + 4829 = 11699.3336

Even if he has KQ 80% of the time, you lose almost $1000 by folding. So don't.
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  #16  
Old 02-21-2007, 08:51 PM
multious multious is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

easy fold obv
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  #17  
Old 02-21-2007, 08:55 PM
Ansky Ansky is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

You guys are all crazy, boosted j is a huge nit.


<font color="white"> lol </font>
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  #18  
Old 02-21-2007, 08:58 PM
fsuplayer fsuplayer is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

he has like, sixes here alot.
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  #19  
Old 02-21-2007, 09:07 PM
aejones aejones is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

[ QUOTE ]
I think he has Qk here 80% of the time btw

[/ QUOTE ]

it's also a flush draw like 60% of the time, a smaller set prob like 30% of the time, jacks and tens like another 15%, aces up 10% at least, a straight darw like Q9 or 89 about 20%, oh and jack -X of clubs 25% or so
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  #20  
Old 02-21-2007, 09:10 PM
Raised2Win Raised2Win is offline
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Default Re: Can I fold here

who would risk 7000$ WITHOUT THE NUTS!????
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