100NL flush draw

DrRock · #1 02-21-2007, 05:34 PM

Posting this here, because I think its an elementary situation.
villain is competent TAG

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($122.50)
SB ($202.65)
BB ($103)
UTG ($103)
Hero ($96.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, SB calls $3.50, 1 fold.

Flop: ($9) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets $7, Hero raises to $31

This seems bad to me, but I cant understand it logically

svidrigailov · #2 02-21-2007, 05:45 PM

He has to fold a significant portion of his range, so I guess it's bad insofar as villain does not lead the flop without a hand that can withstand a raise. If he's competent he may be liable to avoid putting himself in tough spots OOP, so a PSB is not a marginal hand.

fsista · #3 02-21-2007, 06:13 PM

This is fine if he is a tag that can fold a semi-weak ace like AJ etc. It's also fine if he can have something worse than an ace here. This is bad if villian mostly has AXs or a big A or a SET when he does this.

DrRock · #4 02-21-2007, 06:18 PM

It was weird. The only time I had seen him do this was when he was betting draws. With AK he checkraised. I was thinking, "do I want to raise him off a draw? Wait...I have the draw. Can he mix up his play maybe?" My read just didnt help my course of action.

Jouster777 · #5 02-21-2007, 06:20 PM

I don't have the energy to do the math but this looks like an EV+ play if used sparingly.

The raise should fold AJ and worse incl. draws => ~30% FE (??) and hero gets a free turn card 90% of the time. If the free turn card were 100% of the time then the FD would be priced in. I think the FE should make up for the times villain needs to fold the flop or turn.