$10NL6max: Huge overbet by villian on river

[Askilus]

Villian is 40/12/1.7 over 30 hands, no specific reads on his play.

How should I interpret his river bet (assuming that he is the "standard" type for the stats I gave)?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $4.90
CO: $11.45
Button: $4.30
SB: $11.10
Hero: $10

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $0.2</font>, Button calls, SB folds, Hero calls.

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($0.65, 3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, Button checks.

Turn: K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($0.65, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $0.4</font>, CO calls, Button folds.

River: K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($1.45, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $1.1</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises all-in $10.85</font>, Hero?

Regards,
Fredrik

[avfletch]

FWIW: I fold this preflop. Two big offsuit cards play suck postflop oop, especially when you weren't the one raising initially.

At the end here your hand has to be pretty much face up. He can't really think you'll do this with much except a K and even if he does then it's just a crazy bluff. I'd expect to see something like pocket 3s here a lot. If he is bluffing then you'll probably get a better spot soon enough anyway.

[ImprovinNewbie]

i call... although the PF minbet i usualy see AK or small pr. this could easily be 88 or TT getting crazy and not thinking you could turn and river trips. on the other hand very few players really want to get their money in sans nuts at 10NL. this is boarder line and its pretty sick if he flopped a set and played you like this. this is marginal and you are eaither wa/wb. im curious to know what happened.

[ImprovinNewbie]

good advice.... wait til you know hes a habitual AI bluffer and pick him off... I just puke thinking we fold a winner with an AI. maybe this is a leak.

[corsakh]

Fold preflop.
Fold river. He made a boat and hopes you have a King.

[avfletch]

[ QUOTE ]
good advice.... wait til you know hes a habitual AI bluffer and pick him off... I just puke thinking we fold a winner with an AI. maybe this is a leak.

[/ QUOTE ]

If the bet sizes were the other way around, him betting $2 into a $10 pot then you should puke at thinking of folding a winner. When it's $10 into $2 then you've got a lot of room for letting it go and finding a better spot.