200nl : River bluffs, Part 3

[Mr_Donktastic]

Villian in this hand is 18/5/2.5 (300 hands) and seemed solid. Wtsd/w$sd about 20/50. He is good enough to lay down tpgk.

Full Tilt Poker
$1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
9 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
UTG: $89.65
UTG+1: $312.05
MP1: $98.95
MP2: $92.45
MP3: $77.70
Hero (CO): $198
BTN: $200.80
SB: $94.15
BB: $198

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($3, 9 players)
UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $2, MP3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $9</font>, BTN calls $9, SB folds, BB folds, MP2 calls $7

<font color="black">Flop:</font> 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($30, 3 players)
MP2 checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $14</font>, BTN calls $14, MP2 folds

<font color="black">Turn:</font> 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] [7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]] ($58, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

<font color="black">River:</font> 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] [6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]] ($58, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $20</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $80</font>

[blunty31]

Marginal Bluff, not really worth it. Flush got there, straight got there. Dont think he's betting the river with anything he's not gonna call the raise with. As an aside my faverite and most frequently succesfull bluffs are when a flush card gets there on the river.

[Mr_Donktastic]

[ QUOTE ]
Dont think he's betting the river with anything he's not gonna call the raise with.


[/ QUOTE ]

What about AT/AJ?

[D.L.M.]

hmm i dont like this one

[blunty31]

Thats in his range, but it becomes wishfull thinking given everything else that can be in his range. Would he really bet AT/AJ given there are really no worse hands that would pay him off.

[1p0kerboy]

[ QUOTE ]
hmm i dont like this one

[/ QUOTE ]

Of course, I'm a nit so what do I know?

[Mr_Donktastic]

Ok - so if you don't bluff here would anyone call the river bet?

[blunty31]

Not with any expectation of having the winning hand.

[D.L.M.]

no i dont call either. i just give this one up the diamond on the turn scared any ace into softplaying is my reasoning.

[amfox]

If you are going to take a stab at it, it has to be on the river. It may appear to villain that you were going for the c/r on the turn with the made hand. Once you check the river, you are done with the hand and cannot call villain's bet.