Mosley v Collazo

[Glenn]

Mosely by KO/TKO/DQ, +360 or so on pinny, +320 or so on 5dimes. Mosely is stronger, faster, and more skilled. Collazo doesn't have a good win in his career. He is being overrated because a) he had a title and b) his fight with Hatton was close. He won his title in a split decision over JA Rivera, who is horribly unskilled, then defended it once against MA Gonzalez, whose best weight was 135 and was well past him prime. Hatton, who proved too small for the weight class and looked like garbage during the fight, still managed to knock him down and beat him. Most of Luis's advatage comes from being a fairly strong, awkward southpaw. That's great against a journeyman-type fighter or a prospect, but against a seasoned world champion like Mosley, it's not going to be enough. Of course, Mosley might not be able to get the knockout, but +300 or more is a very good line IMO.

[KobeStopper]

Sportsbook.com at -360, making me less than excited about playing it.

[Glenn]

Not the moneyline, the stoppage prop.

[igetbadbeat]

[ QUOTE ]
Mosely by KO/TKO/DQ, +360 or so on pinny, +320 or so on 5dimes. Mosely is stronger, faster, and more skilled. Collazo doesn't have a good win in his career. He is being overrated because a) he had a title and b) his fight with Hatton was close. He won his title in a split decision over JA Rivera, who is horribly unskilled, then defended it once against MA Gonzalez, whose best weight was 135 and was well past him prime. Hatton, who proved too small for the weight class and looked like garbage during the fight, still managed to knock him down and beat him. Most of Luis's advatage comes from being a fairly strong, awkward southpaw. That's great against a journeyman-type fighter or a prospect, but against a seasoned world champion like Mosley, it's not going to be enough. Of course, Mosley might not be able to get the knockout, but +300 or more is a very good line IMO.

[/ QUOTE ]

sounds like you see value in -360 for the win also?

[BooNaNy]

I'm assuming the book thinks this will go 12 rounds? So would fight to go 12 rounds at -200 be of any value?