$16 AQo bubble

[dipstikdave]

first SNG with this villain. overall stats are 26/12 for 48 hands and very active last few rotations. due to the size of his raise i don't have much fe, but i feel i'm ahead of his range(Ax, any pair, any 2 overs). should i take this opportunity or hope shorty busts soon? other two players are very loose also, so i'm not getting many chances to open push.

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t200 with t25 antes (4 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

CO (t975)
Button (t5575)
Hero (t2125)
BB (t4825)

Preflop: Hero is in SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="red">Button raises to t800</font>, <font color="red">Hero

[blowbubbles]

I am pushing this one all day long

[FeNeF]

Fold. Even if he's doing this with any 2 it's -EV, assuming he doesn't fold.

[Sparta45]

[ QUOTE ]
Fold. Even if he's doing this with any 2 it's -EV, assuming he doesn't fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree with this. The key is that short stack and the size of your stack. It's a brutal reality of ICM, but you should fold this....even though there is an excellent chance you have the best hand.

[alanbrown]

I ran the numbers. If he's playing top 50% or top 80% then it doesn't make much difference if you push or fold. But if he's playing top 25% then it's a clear fold. BTW - I assumed the big stack will call your AI if you do it.

[TruFloridaGator]

This is a craptastic ICM spot so fold. Your stack is too healthy &amp; the shorty is a bit too short.

[Schmitty 87]

[ QUOTE ]
This is a craptastic ICM spot so fold. Your stack is too healthy &amp; the shorty is a bit too short.

[/ QUOTE ]

yep we have too many chips here to put it in. also don't forget how much equity people dump off on the bubble feuding with each other.

[BHokie1]

I almost didn't look when I saw the title I thought Fold.

Looking at the stacks/blinds, when a big stack is pwning the bubble you don't fight him with AQ.

[donkasaurus rex]

gotta fold. pay respect to that big stack.... we all know he's a bully and raising with craptacular hands but there's no need to risk busting out with a ss about to be crippled...

-donk