Pass up a coinflip here getting under 2:1?

thebeebster · #1 02-08-2007, 04:41 PM

played on laptop so no HH. stars 1/2 6 max.
stacks: sb has 110, bb 230 and i cover.

i make it 8 on the button with 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
crappy supernit in SB hasn't played a hand since he lost 80 with QQ, he makes it 18. this means he has QQ+. most likely KK or AA.

BB donk calls. this means he has a pair from 9-Q. i call.

flop comes good for me. 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

SB bets 45, BB shoves. i'm pretty confident in my reads. if sb has AA he'll have a straight redraw if i make two pair to go with his two pair draw. plus both have a chance to flush redraw if i make my flush. i'm happy to gamble if sb is a full stack, but should i pass here?

EddieRooo · #2 02-08-2007, 04:49 PM

Why would you pass given your reads? (and given you called with 74dd and hit a dream flop)

tubasteve · #3 02-08-2007, 04:51 PM

use pokerstove

josh_x · #4 02-08-2007, 04:56 PM

The other day i played a hand where i was pretty sure i would win if i called. I called and won.

Duck Rabbit · #5 02-08-2007, 05:05 PM

Definitely call here. You're really only hurting against a set here which is unlikely. I put the hand into twodimes with some probably holdings. Even if both opponents have overpairs JJ+, you are at worst 42% to win. If neither have a heart in their hand, then that boosts up to 50% or so.

However, I don't know why you're calling a 3bet from a nitty shortstack. I don't think there are enough good flops to make this play +EV (But this is one of those good flops).