Field to win MVP 10-1

NajdorfDefense · #1 02-04-2007, 12:30 PM

This seems like good value. Def players have won 8 MVPs. Now, field does not include Urlacher and Sanders, but with Def historically being 4-1 against, I think 10-1 is a good overlay for Freeney, Briggs, June, Vasher, or some random Off or Def guy [Chuck Howley, Dent, etc.]
Vinatieri at 20-1 and Gould at 40-1 or more is not bad either.

skiier04 · #2 02-04-2007, 12:33 PM

I would take both the kickers, but hell what do I know.

youtalkfunny · #3 02-04-2007, 03:09 PM

If Vinatieri hasn't won a SB MVP yet, he's not going to. He can't contribute to a SB win any more than he already has--unless he comes in to relieve an injured Peyton Manning, and engineers a couple of late TD drives to pull out a victory.

If the Colts win, I can't see anybody but Peyton getting the credit for it. If I liked the Colts to win this game, I'd take Peyton for MVP at a plus price, before I laid points or the ML.

A Colts win = a Manning MVP. Unless one of his WR's sets a SB record, I just can't see it going any other way.

Swede · #4 02-04-2007, 04:36 PM

Laddies has Vinatieri at 34-1 and Gould 67-1. Playable?

NajdorfDefense · #5 02-04-2007, 04:42 PM

[ QUOTE ]
If the Colts win, I can't see anybody but Peyton getting the credit for it.

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't be silly.

Again, I am saying the field is +EV, not the kickers. At some point, however, you have to like Gould. only 1.5% to win MVP? Maybe...

As for vinatieri, he did miss two in the CAR game. That would seem to be a point against him in that one, but you're probably right on him.

Central Limit · #6 02-05-2007, 02:05 PM

[ QUOTE ]

A Colts win = a Manning MVP. Unless one of his WR's sets a SB record, I just can't see it going any other way.

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After the fact, I know, but I think this would have been a good parlay: Colts Win & Manning MVP.

knicknut · #7 02-05-2007, 02:15 PM

You wouldn't be able to parlay that anywhere, I wouldn't think. Or a book is an idiot, because you can essentially double (more or less depending on team) your payout on every player:

P(Colts win|Peyton MVP) ~ 1

So by betting Peyton MVP you're also betting that the Colts win. It'd be like parlaying Colts -7 and Colts ML.

Central Limit · #8 02-05-2007, 03:40 PM

Yes. I try to find opportunities to make the book look like an idiot. It isn't easy to do and I'm disappointed I missed this one.

beetman · #9 02-06-2007, 03:25 AM

I'm pretty sure there's be value parlaying any quarterback with that player's team to win. Someone I know was able to parlay Roethlisberger MVP/Steelers ML and Hasselback MVP/Seahawks ML last year, I didn't hear if he was able to do the same thing this year.

Thremp · #10 02-06-2007, 03:31 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I'm pretty sure there's be value parlaying any quarterback with that player's team to win. Someone I know was able to parlay Roethlisberger MVP/Steelers ML and Hasselback MVP/Seahawks ML last year, I didn't hear if he was able to do the same thing this year.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is printing money.