#1
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u47.5 27-73 WSEX
$27 contracts on unders at WSEX Looks to be good value to me.
Up to $30 while I typed this, still seems to be a buy. One huge pass, a runback and almost zero offense in this so far. Lori |
#2
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Re: u47.5 27-73 WSEX
Just topped up at $37
Lori |
#3
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Re: u47.5 27-73 WSEX
Sorry can you explain what you mean by this cause i am stupid and dont understand :-(
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#4
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Re: u47.5 27-73 WSEX
[ QUOTE ]
Sorry can you explain what you mean by this cause i am stupid and dont understand :-( [/ QUOTE ] You buy contracts at $x, if you win the bet (in this case under 47.5 points.... so no more scores) your contract becomes worth $100. Buying at $30 effectively means you're getting odds of 70-30 (get back $100 or $0) Lori |
#5
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Re: u47.5 27-73 WSEX
Thx for that and best of luck for no more scores!
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#6
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Re: u47.5 27-73 WSEX
Anyone tried to build a past performance based model to beat this WSEX trading site? Seems like it could be done. Acquiring data could be the biggest challenge.
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#7
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Re: u47.5 27-73 WSEX
Every time I try to do some proper analysis to beat in-play trading on anything I discover that the best thing to use is just 'feel'.
I suspect that trading sites (moreso exchanges than bookmakers) actually pretty much mimic a decent model, and the times you get bets are the times that there is good reason to believe that the model is likely to be wrong. Lori |
#8
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Re: u47.5 27-73 WSEX
I don't disagree with your points... but early in games, it just seems like the fluctuations are way too large, particularly with respect to the o/u.
So now I guess I need to track down some play-by-play NFL data to back up my instinct. |
#9
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Re: u47.5 27-73 WSEX
[ QUOTE ]
I don't disagree with your points... but early in games, it just seems like the fluctuations are way too large, particularly with respect to the o/u. So now I guess I need to track down some play-by-play NFL data to back up my instinct. [/ QUOTE ] http://www.nfl.com/scores/2006/week1 Lori |
#10
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Re: u47.5 27-73 WSEX
I know... good times parsing through that for a couple seasons of data... but I think I'm going to give it a shot. I'll report back if I get anything good together.
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