Switching to commerce no limit

[reedy]

My win rate of 1.88bb per 100 hands is based off of 2 years of live poker {around 20 hour per week}. I figure thats around 60,000 hands of poker {lol at live poker}.
If iam still sitting at 1.75 to 1.90bb per 100 when i reach 100,000 hands my sample size would be big enough...correct??

Thanks for the great nl advice so far guys.

[Michael Davis]

"My win rate of 1.88bb per 100 hands is based off of 2 years of live poker {around 20 hour per week}. I figure thats around 60,000 hands of poker {lol at live poker}.
If iam still sitting at 1.75 to 1.90bb per 100 when i reach 100,000 hands my sample size would be big enough...correct??"

No, not even close, unfortunately. Ask the stat guys how close to your normal earn you will be, but just anecdotally I played 400,000 hands online of a certain limit with the following winrates:

3.2/100
2.8/100
2.6/100
0.6/100

-Michael

[reedy]

ok so whats a decent sample size...500,000, 1000,000? will it take me 5 years of live poker to figure out my win rate?

[kyleb]

[ QUOTE ]
ok so whats a decent sample size...500,000, 1000,000? will it take me 5 years of live poker to figure out my win rate?

[/ QUOTE ]

More than 5 years for sure.

[Rick Nebiolo]

[ QUOTE ]
"My win rate of 1.88bb per 100 hands is based off of 2 years of live poker {around 20 hour per week}. I figure thats around 60,000 hands of poker {lol at live poker}.
If iam still sitting at 1.75 to 1.90bb per 100 when i reach 100,000 hands my sample size would be big enough...correct??"

No, not even close, unfortunately. Ask the stat guys how close to your normal earn you will be, but just anecdotally I played 400,000 hands online of a certain limit with the following winrates:

3.2/100
2.8/100
2.6/100
0.6/100

-Michael

[/ QUOTE ]

If the last win rate number in the sequence is also the most recent I think a lot had has to do with the general toughening up of online poker.

~ Rick