Please help me understand this math problem

[HitNRunPoster]

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You assume you're going to call whe he raises, which means you must think that he is raising the river with a worse hand some time and you're not taking that into account in your math.

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No, actually. There's two flaws with this thinking.

1) He could sometimes raise with AA and so it's a call on the river, although that doesn't factor into the EV of the raise/call, since we chop when it happens.

2) We could theoretically say that he will ONLY put in further aggression with KK and also say that we will ALWAYS pay it off... If it's truth, it's an ugly truth, but this may very well be the case...