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Old 02-01-2007, 08:00 PM
Askilus Askilus is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Lkpg, Sweden
Posts: 499
Default Re: JJ 4 bet pre

Ok, it's late here in Sweden so bare with me if I do something wrong, but here we go. No, you don't have the odds to hit your set. Lets assume your behind and that you need to hit it.

The odds for that is: 1-8.5.

Lets also assume you stack villian everytime you hit, and that he never makes his redraw when you do either. The "pot" now is then his stack $25 + what you already have invested, $4 = $28. You have to call $7.5. That is:

$7.5-$28 => 1-3.7

Nowhere near the 1-8.5 you need. This assumes that you never put any more money in after your PF call even if the flop comes rags (assuming again that you are beat right now).
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