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  #1  
Old 01-30-2007, 12:55 AM
Plus1Plus1 Plus1Plus1 is offline
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Default AJs, should I be shoving here?

All I know about villain is that like me, he hasn't played any pots the last couple orbits.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (9 handed) internettexasholdem.com

UTG (t3755)
UTG+1 (t6778)
MP1 (t1948)
MP2 (t8043)
MP3 (t2630)
CO (t11999)
Button (t5241)
Hero (t2500)
BB (t3920)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises to t625</font>
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  #2  
Old 01-30-2007, 01:26 AM
J.A.K. J.A.K. is offline
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Default Re: AJs, should I be shoving here?

But how many times has it been open folded to him? In a vacuum I fold.
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  #3  
Old 01-30-2007, 01:40 AM
1st and 15 1st and 15 is offline
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Default Re: AJs, should I be shoving here?

I don't like a shove here. He's prolly not gonna fold if he's been tight and now just invested almost 25% of his stack. It seems like you have almost no FE, could easily be crushed, and are essentially praying just to get the suboptimal end of a coinflip here. Just fold and use you stack for better purposes like some first in vig exploitation.
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  #4  
Old 01-30-2007, 03:02 AM
mayesie mayesie is offline
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Default Re: AJs, should I be shoving here?

Shoving seems fine, given your typical pre-flop raiser from the Hijack.
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  #5  
Old 01-30-2007, 04:25 AM
Plus1Plus1 Plus1Plus1 is offline
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Default Re: AJs, should I be shoving here?

I should add that the blinds go up to 200/400 in ~3 minutes. I was actually very happy with the fold when I made it, but by the next orbit I was fully regretting it.
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  #6  
Old 01-30-2007, 05:00 AM
JesseB_11 JesseB_11 is offline
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Default Re: AJs, should I be shoving here?

With blinds going up I probably push this and hope for a coinflip. I doubt you are ahead of his range but by folding you leave yourself with like 6 bbs. If blinds weren't going up for a while, given his tight image this is an easy fold.
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  #7  
Old 01-30-2007, 07:08 AM
shaundeeb shaundeeb is offline
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Default Re: AJs, should I be shoving here?

I always try to interpret bet sizes which tends to be easier postflop, but there are some players PF where the diff amounts make a diff. I hate folding a strong suited ace with under 15bbs to one open raise without a read. Especially because he's calling his stack and also theres only 1 person to act who hasn't acted yet. For those who fold are you also folding AQo here?

About the blinds going up you will usually be utg+1 by the time the 3min is up at most tables, you will have to do 1 if not 2 steals during that time or you can try to resteal here to get to 10ish bbs before blinds go up, which is something you shoulw strive for, once at 10bbs 2 steals and you are upto 14bbs and proper restealing level.
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  #8  
Old 01-30-2007, 07:28 AM
Fiksdal Fiksdal is offline
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Default Re: AJs, should I be shoving here?

This is close. AQo is not close.
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  #9  
Old 01-30-2007, 07:33 AM
registrar registrar is offline
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Default Re: AJs, should I be shoving here?

I'd shove.

Edit: reading the rest of the thread, the blinds me that you really have to shove. His 3x + a weeny bit raise means that you probably have no FE, but in probably also means that he's not got aces.
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