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  #1  
Old 01-24-2007, 02:47 AM
EdmondDantes EdmondDantes is offline
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Default Still licking my wounds.

Anyone know that odds of ace full of tens beaten by quads? Would love some confirmation that I won't see it again for a while.

Edmond
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  #2  
Old 01-25-2007, 12:19 PM
ScottHoward ScottHoward is offline
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Default Re: Still licking my wounds.

100%
aces full always loses to quads.
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  #3  
Old 01-25-2007, 05:55 PM
Cobra Cobra is offline
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Default Re: Still licking my wounds.

Lets assume you start with AA, and the board ends up ATTXX were x's are not paired and are not a ten or ace. There is only one hand that beets you, that is TT.

Probability of losing to TT in this situation is:

=1/(45c2)*9 = 1/990*9 = 9/990 = 1/110 or one in 110 times.

Cobra
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  #4  
Old 01-25-2007, 05:56 PM
Cobra Cobra is offline
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Default Re: Still licking my wounds.

Sorry the *9 in this is 9 opponents, if you have less opponents you would multiply by that number.
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  #5  
Old 01-25-2007, 07:42 PM
ScottHoward ScottHoward is offline
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Default Re: Still licking my wounds.

[ QUOTE ]
Lets assume you start with AA, and the board ends up ATTXX were x's are not paired and are not a ten or ace. There is only one hand that beets you, that is TT.

Probability of losing to TT in this situation is:

=1/(45c2)*9 = 1/990*9 = 9/990 = 1/110 or one in 110 times.

Cobra

[/ QUOTE ]
this is wrong
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  #6  
Old 01-25-2007, 08:42 PM
Cobra Cobra is offline
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Default Re: Still licking my wounds.

It looks like a made an error in my computation but I cannot see it. Can someone point it out to me.

Thank you,

Cobra
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  #7  
Old 01-26-2007, 12:29 PM
Alexpoker Alexpoker is offline
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Default Re: Still licking my wounds.

This is true in fact.

Don't forget that we assume that you have AsAs and that the flop is AsTTXX that is not gonna happen often !!!!

Assuming this fact, there are only 45C2 hands possible for your opponents, => 1/45C2 that one opponent has the hand =>
110 : 1 that one of your 9 opponent has the hand.
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  #8  
Old 01-31-2007, 08:29 AM
vozzie vozzie is offline
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Default Re: Still licking my wounds.

I think I saw this bad beat with the brother of Kate Hudson in the very first hand of the main event of the WSOP against Sam Farga.

It was hilarious. You sit down, you flop a boat, you are excited because you catch a lucky break on the first hand, you start to slowplay it, you get your opponent to go all inn and then you see he has flopped quads.

You just lost 10K in one hand and you are the first of 8000 players to go out.
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  #9  
Old 01-31-2007, 02:46 PM
efiusa efiusa is offline
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Default Re: Still licking my wounds.

Actually, I'm pretty sure the Farha hand was AT vs TT on a board of AATxx
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