Are you betting the Bears? - Page 3

Dementia · #21 01-12-2007, 10:30 PM

Theyve def shown flashes of that Prop. Look its simple, if the Bears lose, its because Grossman turns the ball over. I don't see them letting him air it out, not with Seattles run defense playing poorly. All they need Grossman to do is play average, throw to move the chains now and then, maybe an occasional big hookup down the field, no reason to shoot it out with how lackluster he's been, not when they can win the game on the ground. As far as Chicagos d, they're as healthy as they've been without Tommy Harris, they've been on relax mode past few weeks with everything locked up, I reckon they're gonna be playing pretty pissed off.

NajdorfDefense · #22 01-12-2007, 11:08 PM

A middle line of +380 means the books are saying SEA is only 21% to win or so. I think that is low by 4-9%. Chicago is favored and should be. But simply not by that much. However, imho I see a big Chi win or a close Sea win. Chicago puked up at home last year with a better, healthier D, no reason it can't happen again.
Also, if it is stormy and rainy, it's SEA that has the best RB on the field, by far. Not chicago.

Note: this is NOT a bsp pick. I may have one coming up, canvassing a few more traders, bars, and friends before posting. Got 12 of 14 all on the same game so far...but I want more data.

Naj

ps 3000th post. Yay, me.

ddss6_99 · #23 01-13-2007, 12:13 AM

Interesting stat: Seattle has covered the spread in 7 of their 8 road games this season.

MacGuyV · #24 01-13-2007, 01:00 AM

Everyone does like Chi here, but that has more to do with Seattle than anything else. That not withstanding the Bears have to be the most scrutinized #1 seed in some time; and I'd expect them to play a pretty nasty game Sunday.

NajdorfDefense · #25 01-13-2007, 01:51 AM

So you laying the 9-9.5 with Wrecks Grossman at the helm?

JJguy · #26 01-13-2007, 04:00 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Interesting stat: Seattle has covered the spread in 7 of their 8 road games this season.

[/ QUOTE ]

no, they have not.

MacGuyV · #27 01-13-2007, 04:40 AM

Nah, I would if I had to; but it's my least favorite game of the weekend.

Shipwreck · #28 01-13-2007, 02:43 PM

[ QUOTE ]
A middle line of +380 means the books are saying SEA is only 21% to win or so. I think that is low by 4-9%. Chicago is favored and should be. But simply not by that much. However, imho I see a big Chi win or a close Sea win. Chicago puked up at home last year with a better, healthier D, no reason it can't happen again.
Also, if it is stormy and rainy, it's SEA that has the best RB on the field, by far. Not chicago.

Note: this is NOT a bsp pick. I may have one coming up, canvassing a few more traders, bars, and friends before posting. Got 12 of 14 all on the same game so far...but I want more data.

Naj

ps 3000th post. Yay, me.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well said. Better running game, and Mike Holmgren is one of the more experienced and talented coaches in the league. Those two factors to me justify taking the underdog.

PropPlayer · #29 01-14-2007, 05:17 PM

Nice pick either way this goes Naj.

BRDSR · #30 01-14-2007, 05:23 PM

Took the Seahawks at +9. When it went into overtime I felt pretty good about it.