#1
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200NL -- bluff this river?
Villain is 27/15 in 60 hands.
Hero has $362.40 Villain has $219.70 Hero has [9c] [Tc] Villain raises to $7 2 folds Hero calls $7 3 folds BB calls $5 flop is [Ah] [9h] [7s] Villain bets $12 Hero raises to $32 BB folds Villain calls Turn is [3c] Villain checks Hero bets $50 Villain calls $50 River is [Kc] Villain checks Hero ? The rest of the hand clearly isn't the "standard" play, but should I be bluffing the river here ever? I think I can fold out AJ/AT most of the time, AQ some of the time, and 68/8T and random pocket pairs like all of the time. How bad/good is a bet here? |
#2
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Re: 200NL -- bluff this river?
why do you want to fold out 68/t8?
Check turn call river is best play. But so just check behind |
#3
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Re: 200NL -- bluff this river?
I would raise more on the flop. ~40. And then adjust the turn bet to be 3/4 pot. I strongly advocate a third barrel since youve gone this far. Interested to see results.
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#4
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Re: 200NL -- bluff this river?
[ QUOTE ]
why do you want to fold out 68/t8? Check turn call river is best play. But so just check behind [/ QUOTE ] I don't want to fold out the missed draws (flush draws that don't include the [Kh] also), but most 1/2 players are folding marginal aces like AJ/AT/Ax to a river bet here -- those are the hands i'm interested in bluffing. I think typical 1/2 players are folding these these hands most of the time in this spot. Missed straight draws aren't THAT big a factor here. Obviously those will fold, but I think he's on a straight draw a very small fraction of the time here. |
#5
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Re: 200NL -- bluff this river?
[ QUOTE ]
I would raise more on the flop. ~40. And then adjust the turn bet to be 3/4 pot. I strongly advocate a third barrel since youve gone this far. Interested to see results. [/ QUOTE ] I see what you're saying, but the line I'm taking here is to try to look like I'm squeezing value out of my AK/AQ/set types of hands. Blowing someone off the pot early is pretty easy in this case I think, this is supposed to look like I'm stringing along a mediocre ace. |
#6
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Re: 200NL -- bluff this river?
Ok I understand what youre going for, only problem I may have with that is pricing in potential draws. With the goal of looking like youre squeezing value the river is an absolute must bet.
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