400NL: AA facing heat

[Kristian]

Villain is good aggressive regular, 25/18/4.4

I think the turn push is wrong, what do you think? Call and fold to river bet? Just fold?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($1208.40)
CO ($78)
Button ($257.70)
SB ($413.20)
BB ($520)
UTG ($400)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $16</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB (poster) calls $14, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: ($36) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $30</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $80</font>, Hero calls $50.

Turn: ($196) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $95</font>, Hero shoves

[ladykiller]

I'd fold the turn. On the flop you need to figure out what kind of hands he makes the cr with.

[FiSheYe]

Opponent seems to be capable of making that move with AsJs - JsTs.. 2pair is unlikely and there are only 2set combinations which appear sane (22 and 33) so I think pushing the turn is absolutely solid. He has 413.20 and already invested 191$ (222.20 left).. I think chances are good he has Flushdraw/Toppair or just TpTk way more often than a set.. I am 99% certain he has a set here, but just because of the way you explained that hand.. so I would shove it or call and plan to call allin on the river if no space nor a Jacke comes on the river.. I dunno how you can fold that with this stats.. I doubt he would fire 95$ on a flushdraw but given his stats it's not super unreasonable..
Thoughts ?

[jsnipes28]

It appears that he wants you to shove, but I think it's probably fine.

If he is a tag that is rly 3b/fold out of the blinds I would be inclined to fold the turn. If he calls a bit out of the blinds w/ SC and what not I would more readily shove the turn.

As it is you have Aces, so folding is probably out of the question but the above is prob how I would try thinking about it if I was ever going to fold them

[luckychewy]

i play it the same. some ppl bet this small with 22/33 and most do it with jx/77-tt/spades. if he has 22/33 make a note and move on.

[PJ94z]

No one will call you a donkey if you shove.

If you fold, someone might call you a donkey [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]