AK river barf 200 6max

[carnivalhobo]

villain is the reason im playing, 41/12/1.7 with a river AF of 4.7

Full Tilt Poker
$1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
5 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
CO: $64
BTN: $912.45
SB: $314.5
Hero (BB): $198
UTG: $303.95

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A ($3, 5 players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $4</font>, BTN calls $4, SB calls $3, <font color="red">Hero raises to $20</font>, CO folds, BTN calls $16, SB folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q ($48, 2 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $27</font>, BTN calls $27

<font color="black">Turn:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q [4] ($102, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

<font color="black">River:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q 4 [A] ($102, 2 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $51</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $120</font>

[epdaws]

This might be awfully results-oriented, but what are your thoughts of going with a river c/c, carn? Villain liked his hand enough on the flop and has a high river aggression factor.

[carnivalhobo]

[ QUOTE ]
This might be awfully results-oriented, but what are your thoughts of going with a river c/c, carn? Villain liked his hand enough on the flop and has a high river aggression factor.

[/ QUOTE ]

tbh, i looked at his river aggression after the hand was over. I think that even an agro guy like this is likely to check behind with KQ or JJ in a big pot like this when they always put you on AK. But his agro is low on other streets, which means i guess he can show up with a small set here, which is gross.

[epdaws]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
This might be awfully results-oriented, but what are your thoughts of going with a river c/c, carn? Villain liked his hand enough on the flop and has a high river aggression factor.

[/ QUOTE ]

tbh, i looked at his river aggression after the hand was over. I think that even an agro guy like this is likely to check behind with KQ or JJ in a big pot like this when they always put you on AK.

[/ QUOTE ]

But if they put you on AK, are they calling a river bet there? We're obviously in search of the highest EV line. With your read and that board, I like a river bet, but I thikn the raise means you're toast.

Edit: you're getting nearly 4:1 on the call, but I'm not even sure I'd make it.

[rode]

never bet this river. you don't get a worse hand to call you.
A9 or KT is a very likely holding here, maybe AQ.
i would bet more on the flop.

[orange]

your hand is faceup...i think fold is probably best, though i would call here alot at the tables.

[beardedwhale]

I'd bet like 32 on the flop. 27 looks weak [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

c/c river.

[MasterLJ]

This can only be A9, A3, a total bluff or someone getting retarded with AJ/AT. I think A9 is most likely with bluff/AJ being stupid in a close second.

[AE6]

i'd fold, the small size of his raise combined with the fact that your hand is faceup makes me think he is never bluffing here....and obv nothing you beat raises for value.

[bigbluffer79]

c/c only better hands call/raise you. AJ or AT may flat but theyre retarded for being in the hand to this point anyways.