Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-04-2007, 03:07 PM
I dunno I dunno is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Waiting for a hit and run
Posts: 494
Default Calculating probablity of being dealt particular Omaha hand

What is the easiest way of calculating the probability of being dealt A3QQ, suits irrelevant?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-04-2007, 03:18 PM
maddis maddis is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Germany
Posts: 257
Default Re: Calculating probablity of being dealt particular Omaha hand

step 1: the chance of getting an ace as your first card is 4/52. 4/51 that you get a 3 next. 4/50 that you get a Q as your third card and 3/49 that you get a Q as your forth card. multiplicating this gives you the probability to get A3QQ. BUT it gives you only the probability to get it in this order.

step 2: think of the possible ways that this hand can be dealt to you: A3QQ, 3AQQ, AQ3Q, 3QAQ, QA3Q, Q3AQ, QAQ3, Q3QA, QQA3, QQ3A, AQQ3, 3QQA. = 12 possibilies
puh i hope this is all. and i hope that you dont have to differantiate both Queens, but i think not. (feedback plz!)
you have to multiplicate
12 x (4/52 * 4/51 * 4/50 * 3/49) and you got it! i hope [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] again: feedback please if this is correct
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-04-2007, 07:37 PM
bachfan bachfan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 196
Default Re: Calculating probablity of being dealt particular Omaha hand

There are four ways to get dealt an ace, four ways to get dealt a three, and six ways to get dealt two queens.

So 4 * 4 * 6 = 96 A3QQ hands in existence.

There are 52C4 total omaha hands (look up combinatorics for more) = 270725. (<--- save this number for future such computations).

so 96 hands out of 270725 = 0.035%

Cheers,
bachfan
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:01 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.