#1
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$50NL: QQ with Ace on the Flop
Villain is 51/13/2.8 after 153 hands. I feel we're good often enough to make a call +EV. Do you think I'm right?
Seat 1 : UTG has $22.09 Seat 2 : UTG+1 has $36.66 Seat 3 : Hero has $61.96 Seat 4 : Button has $22.04 Seat 5 : SB has $20.50 Seat 6 : Villain has $47.46 SB posted small blind. Villain posted big blind. Blinds .25/.50 Dealing Hole Cards. Seat 3 : Hero has Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] UTG called $0.50 UTG+1 called $0.50 Hero called $0.50 and raised $2.50 Button folded. SB folded. Villain called $2.50 UTG folded. UTG+1 folded. Dealing flop. Board cards [T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]] (Pot: $7.25) Villain checked. Hero bet $5 Villain called $5 Dealing turn. Board cards [T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]] (Pot: $17.25) Villain checked. Hero checked. Dealing river. Board cards [T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]] (Pot: $17.25) Villain bet $10 Hero ?? |
#2
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Re: $50NL: QQ with Ace on the Flop
AGainst this villain, I think call.
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#3
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Re: $50NL: QQ with Ace on the Flop
check/fold river, the only draws on the flop are gutshot draws which means hes not betting with a busted draw on the river (unless he calls flop with gutshot which i doubt). If villain has a high went to showdown and his AF increases on each street then i would a call could be justified.
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#4
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Re: $50NL: QQ with Ace on the Flop
Really depends on the villain here...his bet looks to be a clear value bet so he thinks he's got you beat. And I really don't see anything a decent opponent could have that you would beat (JJ would reraise pf and KT would fold pf I think).
If you call, you are doing so because you think villain is a terrible player who would continue in big pot with a tiny PP unimproved...or would cling to any part of the board that he hit. I don't think a call is +EV in general. |
#5
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Re: $50NL: QQ with Ace on the Flop
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think a call is +EV in general. [/ QUOTE ] But he induced a bluff1111 lol I think you have to fold this |
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