My NFL Week 17 bets. Feedback wanted.

[xPuns1her]

Hey everyone, let me start off by saying I've been betting football for a few weeks and I'm just doing it for fun. However, I would like some feedback on my picks for this week before I actually put the money down. Just let me know if you think they are good bets or not, keeping in mind that I know parlays are mathematically idiotic to bet on because the odds are so bad but I'm doing it anyway for fun.
thanks


at BoDog:

6 Team Teaser, paying 5/1.
(435) Detroit Lions +20
(447) Oakland Raiders +20
(439) Miami Dolphins +16
(449) Atlanta Falcons +15
(455) San Francisco 49ers +17½
(457) Arizona Cardinals +20½

and...

7 Team Parlay ($12 for $994)
Redskins (+3)
Bengals(-6)
Lions(+13)
Raiders(+13)
Seahawks(+3.5)
Patriots(+3)
Packers(+3)

thanks. <font color="red"> </font> <font color="red"> </font>

[Tragichero]

I like the teaser a lot, but not so sure about the 7 team parlay...Redskins could hang close with the Giants, and the pats game is pretty hard to pick right now. However, a lot of other people can give you much better advice

[Performify]

You might like this thread:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...Number=8543430


There's really not much that can be said on these types of plays. You mention you know they are generally -EV, but if you're doing it for entertainment...

Good luck either way man.

[xPuns1her]

Hey performity, I checked out that link and it seems those people are getting much better payouts for parlays than bodog gives. Like a 6 game $10 risk to win $1300. The most Ive ever seen on bodog is risk $12 to win $1050 for a 7 gamer. WTF is that about.

[Performify]

you have to take a look at what they're betting.

Lots of time people are including moneylines in the parlays (i.e. a +200 underdog in a parlay will change your payout odds pretty tremendously if you're used to seeing the odds of a five team parlay of teams against the spread at -110 each)

[Mr.JR]

Love the teaser.

[LLXC]

Bodog also does not pay better parlay odds as some other books do.

[Dementia]

Haha upon first glance I thought your teaser was a moneyline bet on all those games, was like WTF out loud.

[Phil9]

Dementia, if you moneylined all those teams in a parlay and won, I think you will have enough money for the next 50,000 parlays you make.

[Dementia]

[ QUOTE ]
Dementia, if you moneylined all those teams in a parlay and won, I think you will have enough money for the next 50,000 parlays you make.

[/ QUOTE ]
lmao for sure, if all of those teams won it'd be $$ well deserved. pissing in the wind is probably more profitable.