Thu Bowl games

[BeL0wMe]

Jeez, seems like everyone is turning away from the Tide (bad pun sorry), scaling this one down to 1 unit, this has just been a tough week to pick NCAA games, Naj any big weekend picks to look forward too? My edges seem too small to make any significant bets worthwhile on these games.

[MicroBob]

In other news:

Both teams go 6-6.
ALA goes 2-6 in conference.
OK St goes 3-5.

How pathetic of a bowl-game is this?


I'm still feeling iffy about my OSU pick but I had to pick somebody ("had to" because I said I would play every bowl-game this year).


Anyway,
OSU's 3 non-conference wins for them to be bowl-elgible in the first place are:
Missouri St, 52-10
Arkansas St, 35-7
Fla Atlantic, 48-8

Arrrgh, crappy opponents. But at least they didn't have any nail-biters against them.

They lost their other non-conference to Houston, 34-25.

But I like all the close games they lost in-conference to decent/good teams so I'm optimistic.

34-33 to A&M
41-29 to Neb
30-24 to Tex Tech
27-21 to Okla
31-27 to KSU

That's a lot of competitive games where the other team had just enough to squeak past.


Alabama at least defeated half-decent teams non-conference. But they weren't exactly over-powering the whole time:
vs. Hawaii, 25-17
vs. Duke, 30-14


they have their share of respectable losses against good teams too.

But then there's that embarassing 24-16 loss to Miss St.
and barely beating Ole Miss, 26-23 and Vandy 13-10.
Those are 3 pretty embarassing games right there.


when they aren't motivated, as might be the case for this bowl-game with an interim coach and perhaps less discipline on the road, they definitely seem suspect.

[BeL0wMe]

Bob, I like the analysis, but I just think that the SEC is too strong of a conference, going 2-6 through that jungle, is still an accomplishment. Betting this one mainly because SEC >>>>>>>>> Big 12

[MicroBob]

I agree SEC is generally better.

Going 2-6 is not an accomplishment though when your wins are by 3 points each over Ole Miss and Vandy.

Lots of bad teams are good enough to squeak past Miss and Vandy by 3.

Their close games in their 5 losses to Top 25 teams is a much greater accomplishment than their two crappy wins imo.

ARK, 24-23
FLA, 28-13
TEN, 16-13
LSU, 28-14
AUB, 22-15

[MicroBob]

Looking closer at ALA:

taking some liberties here because their losses could have gone the other way too...but they were pretty close to actually going 0-8 in conference this year.


13-10 vs. Vandy - ALA trailed 10-3 at half. Kicked long FG with 7 mins left to win.

26-23 vs. Ole Miss - They won that game in OT.

although admittedly ALA had 150 yds more on offense than Miss.

Both of these nail-biters came in Tuscaloosa where they presumably should have a pretty strong home-field advantage.

[silentbob]

Heh. When people are arguing about the quality of losses for two teams, you know it's gonna be a horrible game.

(BTW, I am on Alabama +2 but don't necessarily like it)

[BeL0wMe]

[ QUOTE ]

(BTW, I am on Alabama +2 but don't necessarily like it)

[/ QUOTE ]

Ditto, but hey I got off work an hour early, and what's the harm in a 100 dollar bet and a glass of bourbon? Pretty even so far..

[BeL0wMe]

This game's an f ing debacle

Hopefully this bet will salvage me

I teased Kansas State to +14.5, and over 38 points, for a 480 to win 400 payday, gl me.

[McFadden]

I teased RU to -2.5 with the over, hopefully the point differential lands somewhere in between so we can both win [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

(On RU because I gotta root for my state university)

[dameblackman]

24-14, anyone?

chollerbatyahoy

I said by 10, lets see if it stands