NBA Away teams vs Home teams

[The Brainiac]

+16.5 away

-16.5 home

and

Over 622.5

Under 622.5 points in all 3 games of the night .

Phoenix Suns
VS
Dallas Mavericks


Utah Jazz
VS
San Antonio Spurs


SEA Supersonics
VS
Denver Nuggets

[dameblackman]

Im prob only voice for this but I think obv. over 622.5, at least +EV (these kinds of league-wide totals bets are generally marginal, right?)

SAN is playing NO defense (Worst in 8 or 9 years according to Popp), and Utah scoring avg. best since stockton/malone era

DAL/PHO obv. high-scoring

DEN/SEA obv. high-scoring

622.5 means avg. points scored by each time only has to be 103+?

If one game gets to say 120-114 the other two can go (edit-way the [censored])- below the other games' teams' avg. ppg and you still get there

I apologize in advance if I'm appearing overly critical, I'm just trying to test out ideas and stimulate conversation and analysis.

Lemme know what you think.

[The Brainiac]

Looks like a good idea to bet on over 622 IMO .

All teams playing today are probably gonna score over 100 .

I think home teams for - 16 too .

[dameblackman]

I agree, but its not something I want to bet the farm with. To needlessly elaborate, I'd say that in no way can you count on DAL and SAN getting at least 10-11, which is what I think they will both need between them. It's more likely than not, but not by much. I'd feel a little more secure in the over total points, but neither are fantastic bets imo. SOO many better NBA plays tomorrow night, but if you had to bet one tonight, go with the obvious mismatch and take DEN for the 8.

[dameblackman]

rereading my logic I think I just argued for road teams getting the covering but its so close some1 who knows what they're doin are these types of props generally weak, ie please affirm my inability to pick confidently for me

[The Brainiac]

I did think once again and placed 500 $ on Denver with -
8.5

[kbfc]

Where is this bet being offered?
I have all 3 games going around 640.

[dameblackman]

dal/pho going to be a great one

I 2nd kbfc, where can you bet on total points scored league-wide one-night prop?

def not bdg or pinn

[The Brainiac]

Denver won by 14 points , gj me , won 400 $