#1
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Blind steal faces a river donk.
Sorry I didn't convert this but I don't have the hand history with me right now.
No stats on villain 0.50/1 Party Hero is button with A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] all fold to hero who raises,SB folds, BB calls FLOP: K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] BB checks, hero bets TURN 4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] BB checks, hero bets RIVER 7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] BB bets, hero? I think a call is in order here. I see alot of people donking that river with all kinds of hands, and the villain is an unknown. Also, anybody free card that turn...I thought about doing that but I thought a bet was in order. Thoughts on all streets appreciated. |
#2
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Re: Blind steal faces a river donk.
I don't see how you can call this river. This is an easy fold for me.
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#3
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Re: Blind steal faces a river donk.
What do you think villain has that makes it an easy fold?
Can you put him on a king, ten or seven? Would he even bet the river with a king or a ten given that he's been check calling? |
#4
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Re: Blind steal faces a river donk.
I don't think you should bet the turn readless.
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#5
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Re: Blind steal faces a river donk.
i'm getting 3-1 on my bet with being about 4-1 to make an almost sure winner.
It'll be really tough for him to raise me with any hand that isn't two pr or better and he should fold a decent amount of the time. Isn't that enough to make it a bet? I did have the inclination to check through but couldn't think of a good enough reason to do it. |
#6
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Re: Blind steal faces a river donk.
I'd have checked through the turn. It looks like villian has a 7 and is playing weakly. Either that or he thinks he's being clever with a flush. Callign this bet is long term -EV.
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#7
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Re: Blind steal faces a river donk.
What if i check the turn, get that river and he leads into me?
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#8
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Re: Blind steal faces a river donk.
[ QUOTE ]
What if i check the turn, get that river and he leads into me? [/ QUOTE ] I'd fold. This kind of stuff really sucks readless. If you don't have a read of him being aggressive, you can't call and hope he has QJ. |
#9
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Re: Blind steal faces a river donk.
Eh, I call but I call in that spot with A high too much.
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#10
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Re: Blind steal faces a river donk.
I think this is optimal to check turn with outs.
I wouldn't be confident with calling a river bet in this case. |
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