Blind steal faces a river donk.

vhuntd · #1 02-08-2006, 04:20 AM

Sorry I didn't convert this but I don't have the hand history with me right now.

No stats on villain
0.50/1 Party
Hero is button with A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
all fold to hero who raises,SB folds, BB calls

FLOP:
K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

BB checks, hero bets

TURN
4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
BB checks, hero bets

RIVER
7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
BB bets, hero?

I think a call is in order here. I see alot of people donking that river with all kinds of hands, and the villain is an unknown. Also, anybody free card that turn...I thought about doing that but I thought a bet was in order. Thoughts on all streets appreciated.

KrisM · #2 02-08-2006, 04:24 AM

I don't see how you can call this river. This is an easy fold for me.

vhuntd · #3 02-08-2006, 04:28 AM

What do you think villain has that makes it an easy fold?
Can you put him on a king, ten or seven? Would he even bet the river with a king or a ten given that he's been check calling?

shant · #4 02-08-2006, 05:26 AM

I don't think you should bet the turn readless.

vhuntd · #5 02-08-2006, 05:31 AM

i'm getting 3-1 on my bet with being about 4-1 to make an almost sure winner.
It'll be really tough for him to raise me with any hand that isn't two pr or better and he should fold a decent amount of the time. Isn't that enough to make it a bet? I did have the inclination to check through but couldn't think of a good enough reason to do it.

goofball · #6 02-08-2006, 05:33 AM

I'd have checked through the turn. It looks like villian has a 7 and is playing weakly. Either that or he thinks he's being clever with a flush. Callign this bet is long term -EV.

vhuntd · #7 02-08-2006, 05:37 AM

What if i check the turn, get that river and he leads into me?

shant · #8 02-08-2006, 05:42 AM

[ QUOTE ]
What if i check the turn, get that river and he leads into me?

[/ QUOTE ]
I'd fold. This kind of stuff really sucks readless. If you don't have a read of him being aggressive, you can't call and hope he has QJ.

goofball · #9 02-08-2006, 05:52 AM

Eh, I call but I call in that spot with A high too much.

aK13 · #10 02-08-2006, 07:48 AM

I think this is optimal to check turn with outs.

I wouldn't be confident with calling a river bet in this case.