#1
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Ultimate Fight Night 7: 12/13/2006
Man this blows, there is only a couple fights where the favorite is less than -305 and I haven't heard of most of those fighters [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]. Performify HELP [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
I think Kos and Karo both roll here but I don't want to lay more than -250. I think there may be some value in Riggs at the current price. Thoughts? edited title to make this the official thread -P |
#2
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Re: 12/13 UFN lines released
The more and more I think about it.....
I don't think there is any way that Diego will be bet higher than his current price -410 so I put .5 units on Riggs at +375. Riggs is dealing with the tragic death of his daughter and sometimes these things tend to bring out the best in athletes (lets hope it is case here). I also bet 2 units on Koscheck -310 before that line gets out of control. This fight will be cakewalk for Kos. It is one of those fights were they handpicked a soupcan/stepping stone especially for him to destroy. I have a slight lean towards Shonie Carter -120 as well but I am looking forward to seeing Performity's analysis before I bet. |
#3
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Re: 12/13 UFN lines released
I think Shonie Carter looks very good at -139 v. Marcus Davis and Koscheck also looks very good at -318 v. Jeff Joslin.
The Sanchez-Riggs and Karo-Fickett fights I'm not so sure about. I'm somewhat considering throwing down some money on Riggs and Fickett at +375, though moreso on Riggs. I'd like to hear an argument either way about those two fights. |
#4
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Re: 12/13 UFN lines released
Im considering placing a large bet on Koscheck. However seeing Kos opened at -350 on betonfighting and having that line be bet down to -305 I figured I better look into it some.
I didnt know anything about Joslin but I looked some stuff on him on sherdog and on his personal website. Hes a karate blackbelt and a BJJ blackbelt. He has a 5-2 record. He has only beat one person with a winning record (for what its worth, it was both fighters first MMA fight). His two losses were to Jonathan Goulet (unanimous decision) and Jon Fitch (split decision). However all of his wins are via TKO or KO. A lot of pictures of Joslin are of him mounting his opponent. He apparently tried out for TUF 3 but obviously did not make the show. Kos is the best wrestler in the UFC....nobody else is even close. I cant imagine Joslin being able to mount Kos and pound out a TKO victory. Kos's hands keep getting better. We loaded up on Kos against Goulet (at around -400 IIRC) and Kos won that fight easily. Goulet beat Joslin bad enough to get a unanimous decision. This seems like a completely lopsided fight to me, but before I throw a big bet on Kos I wanted to see if anyone thinks differently. |
#5
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Re: 12/13 UFN lines released
If you dont know anything about joslin then you shouldnt be betting on that fight, or any fight where you know so little about the other fighter :S I just dont see the logic
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#6
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Re: 12/13 UFN lines released
and jon fitch is a top rated WW too, google fitch vs joslin and see what happened in that fight
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#7
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Re: 12/13 UFN lines released
I didnt know anything about Joslin, but now I do know some. I shared the info I found (info that in IMO hints to an easy victory by Koscheck) and want to see if theres anything else that needs to be said about the fight. Thats why I made the post...to start discussion and see if anyone had anything to add.
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#8
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Re: 12/13 UFN lines released
This thread is for all discussion related to UFN:7 on 12/13.
I'll be back with full card predictions as always. here are the current lines: Shonie Carter vs Marcus Davis Shonie Carter -139 Marcus Davis +129 David Heath vs Victor Valimaki David Heath -171 Victor Valimaki +161 Jorge Santiago vs Alan Belcher Jorge Santiago -137 Alan Belcher +127 Luigi Fioravanti vs Dave Menne Luigi Fioravanti -397 Dave Menne +367 Diego Sanchez vs Joe Riggs Diego Sanchez -415 Joe Riggs +375 Josh Koscheck vs Jeff Joslin Josh Koscheck -325 Jeff Joslin +295 Karo Parisyan vs Drew Fickett Karo Parisyan -396 Drew Fickett +356 changed the title of the OP to make this the official thread... |
#9
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Re: 12/13 UFN lines released
I'm glad we are official now! Looking forward to your analysis Performify.
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#10
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Re: 12/13 UFN lines released
Me too Performify...go Diego! Too bad he's listed at -520 on Bodog (Riggs at +310) [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
ScottieK |
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