$60 Bubble postflop

wuwut666 · #1 11-30-2006, 11:55 PM

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t200 with t25 antes (4 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

CO (t4350)
Button (t1110)
SB (t5980)
Hero (t2060)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
CO folds, Button folds, SB calls t100, Hero checks

Flop: (t500) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets t800, Hero ??? 

Bubble vs 3 non-regulars, hes pot commiting himself vs my stack. Go all-in with 2x the shorstack's stack as a 50%-80% favorite or fold?

reed62783 · #2 12-01-2006, 12:35 AM

Folding here is bad.....u have a ton of outs, im getting my money in....Plus if villian has total garbage (very possible) he will probsly through his hand away for 1100 more..

fluorescenthippo · #3 12-01-2006, 05:13 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Go all-in with 2x the shorstack's stack as a 50%-80% favorite or fold

[/ QUOTE ]

looks like simple ICM. this must be a fold though. id imagine this isnt close. ill try and run some numbers quick

fluorescenthippo · #4 12-01-2006, 05:22 AM

u need 66.3% if he is calling. problem is he probably is considering his bet and if he has a hand like Tx, or 6x, you are in big trouble as a 51% fav.