NL100 - Gutshot straight + straight flush draw on the flop

[Dan Bitel]

Mr Donk,

thats a bad range. b/c he's not calling a push with AK no diamond and I doubt he even cbets that here.

all,

wtf do ppl think his raise want every1 out? its a pretty stadrd bet here

[Grandezza]

he doesnt have AK without a diamond

[Mr_Donktastic]

This might be a little closer? JJ+ and AK with one diamond...

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

26,730 games 0.015 secs 1,782,000 games/sec

Board: 7d 9d Jd
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 40.6061 % 40.37% 00.24% { 8c8d }
Hand 2: 59.3939 % 59.16% 00.24% { JJ+, AcKd, AdKc, AdKh, AdKs, AhKd, AsKd }

[Grandezza]

You left out AdKd. And if you add TdTx it looks like this:

Board: Jd 9d 7d
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 63.6266 % 63.40% 00.22% { JJ+, TcTd, TdTh, TdTs, AdKd, AcKd, AdKc, AdKh, AdKs, AhKd, AsKd }
Hand 2: 36.3734 % 36.15% 00.22% { 8c8d }

we need to win about 38% of the time if we shove and he calls. its definetly close but I'd probably fold

[Mr_Donktastic]

[ QUOTE ]
You left out AdKd. And if you add TdTx it looks like this:

Board: Jd 9d 7d
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 63.6266 % 63.40% 00.22% { JJ+, TcTd, TdTh, TdTs, AdKd, AcKd, AdKc, AdKh, AdKs, AhKd, AsKd }
Hand 2: 36.3734 % 36.15% 00.22% { 8c8d }

we need to win about 38% of the time if we shove and he calls. its definetly close but I'd probably fold

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for the help.

I think AdKd is rare considering the $20 lead bet, but it should be in there I guess.

I also think a push has a decent amount of FE vs. the AxKd hands and overpairs with no diamond.

It is close...closer than I think some people gave credit for.

[UTRounder]

fold

[kidpokeher]

Mr_Donktastic (love that name), thanks for working through this with PokerStove. Thanks everyone else for your input.