Early Thoughts on NFL 11-23 to 11-27

[phillydilly]

Alright,
Thanks to the advice of the forum for beginning sports bettors, I went thru, made my lines for next week, and here is where I differ...
Please give me your feedback...


Slight Edge

TB @ Dal
MyLine TB+8, Vegas TB+11

SanFran @ StL
MyLine SF+3, Vegas SF +6

Pit @ Bal
MyLine Pickum, Vegas Pit +3

NYG @ Tenn
MyLine NYG-7, Vegas NYG-3

Large Edge

NO @ ATL
MyLine NO-2, Vegas NO+3

CHI @ NE
MyLine CHI-3, Vegas CHI+3

Analyses:
Overall, I just realized I'm picking all road teams. Yuck.
Dallas just doesn't hit me as a blow them out team, 11 points is a lot.
SanFran is playing well as of late, the Rams are not. I'd be tempted to take SF straightup. Of course, this is a vintage bridge jumper pick
Pit, the more i think about this game, the more I'm going to stay away.
NYG, another one, the more I look the more I want to stay away. Tenn has scored 25+ in 4 of last 5.
NO, colstons status may affect this, but NO's offense is rolling, and Atl's isn't, i like NO with the points
Chi has been fine on the road. NE hasn't had a huge homefield advantage (2-3). other than the miami hickup, the bears have rolled all season. Although I am concerned about what Belicheck may throw at what for all intensive purposes is a rookie qb.

Overall, i'm obviously not taking homefield into consideration enough...

[Jibba]

I really like the Giants line for next week. I think I saw it at -2.5 yesterday but haven't checked today. Haven't seen much else that I really like as of yet.

[Lori]

[ QUOTE ]
Overall, i'm obviously not taking homefield into consideration enough...

[/ QUOTE ]

At least it looks like it's a consistent error, so you should be able to correct for it very easily.

Lori

[JJguy]

Does anyone like BATL -3?

playing a division rival at home. if they're going to win at least 1 of 2 games this year, it would be their home game right?
they've been adjusting to the Ray Lewis injury and playing well it seems